Database (step 0)

Date created: 12:47:00 22 Oct 2022.

Install commands that are unavailable or out of date.

. *<< dd_do : noout > >
. clear all

. *https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/sim.8894
. *https://pclambert.net/pdf/Stata_Nordic2019_Lambert.pdf
. *https://slidetodoc.com/automated-reports-using-stata-chuck-huber-ph-d/
. *~Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_supp_mstates\stata\12874_2020_1192_MOESM1_ESM.docx
. *https://opr.princeton.edu/workshops/Downloads/2015May_StataGraphicsKoffman.pdf
. *http://www.bruunisejs.dk/StataHacks/My%20commands/matprint/matprint_demo/
. *https://pure.au.dk/portal/files/140882936/ScientificWorkInStataGoneEasy.pdf
. *https://www.stata.com/meeting/nordic-and-baltic18/slides/nordic-and-baltic18_Bruun.pdf
. *https://github.com/dvorakt/TIER_exercises/blob/master/dyndoc_debt_growth/debt%20and%20growth%20stata%20dyndoc.do
. 
. cap noi which predictms
c:\ado\plus\p\predictms.ado
*! version 4.4.0 22dec2021 MJC

. if _rc==111 {
.         cap noi ssc install multistate
.         }

. cap noi which merlin
c:\ado\plus\m\merlin.ado
*! version 2.1.5 18mar2022 MJC

. if _rc==111 {
.         cap noi ssc install merlin
.         }

. cap noi which sumat
c:\ado\plus\s\sumat.ado
*! Part of package matrixtools v. 0.28
*! Support: Niels Henrik Bruun, niels.henrik.bruun@gmail.com
*! 2021-01-03 toxl added

. if _rc==111 {
.         cap noi scc install matrixtools
.         }

. cap noi which estwrite
c:\ado\plus\e\estwrite.ado
*! version 1.2.4 04sep2009
*! version 1.0.1 15may2007 (renamed from -eststo- to -estwrite-; -append- added)
*! version 1.0.0 29apr2005 Ben Jann (ETH Zurich)

. if _rc==111 {
.         cap noi ssc install estwrite
.         }

. cap noi which winsor2
c:\ado\plus\w\winsor2.ado
*! Inspirit of -winsor-(NJ Cox) and -winsorizeJ-(J Caskey)
*! Lian Yujun, arlionn@163.com, 2013-12-25
*! 1.1 2014.12.16

. if _rc==111 {
.         cap noi ssc install winsor2
.         }       

.         

We need to obtain the file and the work folder.

. mata : st_numscalar("OK", direxists("/volumes/sdrive/data//"))

. if scalar(OK) == 1 {
.         cap noi cd "/volumes/sdrive/data//"
.         global pathdata "/volumes/sdrive/data//"
.         di "Location= ${pathdata}; Date: `c(current_date)', considering an OS `c(os)' for the user: `c(username)'"
. }

. else display "This file does not exist"
This file does not exist

. 
. mata : st_numscalar("OK", direxists("E:\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags\"))

. if scalar(OK) == 1 {
.         cap noi cd "E:\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags"
E:\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags
.         global pathdata "E:\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags"
.         global pathdata2 "E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/"
.         di "Location= ${pathdata}; Date: `c(current_date)', considering an OS `c(os)' for the user: `c(username)'"
Location= E:\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags; Date: 22 Oct 2022, considering an OS Windows for the user: andre
. }

. else display "This file does not exist"

.         
. mata : st_numscalar("OK", direxists("C:\Users\CISS Fondecyt\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags\"))

. if scalar(OK) == 1 {
.         cap noi cd "C:\Users\CISS Fondecyt\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)"
.         global pathdata "C:\Users\CISS Fondecyt\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags"
.         global pathdata2 "C:/Users/CISS Fondecyt/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/"
.         di "Location= ${pathdata}; Date: `c(current_date)', considering an OS `c(os)' for the user: `c(username)'"
. }

. else display "This file does not exist"
This file does not exist

. 
. mata : st_numscalar("OK", direxists("C:\Users\andre\Desktop\_mult_state_ags\"))

. if scalar(OK) == 1 {
.         cap noi cd "C:\Users\andre\Desktop\_mult_state_ags"
.         global pathdata "C:\Users\andre\Desktop\_mult_state_ags"
.         global pathdata2 "C:/Users/andre/Desktop/_mult_state_ags/"
.         di "Location= ${pathdata}; Date: `c(current_date)', considering an OS `c(os)' for the user: `c(username)'"
. }

. else display "This file does not exist"
This file does not exist

. 
. mata : st_numscalar("OK", direxists("C:\Users\CISS Fondecyt\OneDrive\Documentos\"))

. if scalar(OK) == 1 {
.         cap noi cd "C:\Users\CISS Fondecyt\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags"
.         global pathdata "C:\Users\CISS Fondecyt\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)\_mult_state_ags"
.         global pathdata2 "C:/Users/CISS Fondecyt/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/"
.         di "Location= ${pathdata}; Date: `c(current_date)', considering an OS `c(os)' for the user: `c(username)'"
. }

. else display "This file does not exist"
This file does not exist

. 

Path data= E:\Mi unidad\Alvacast\SISTRAT 2019 (github)_mult_state_ags;

Timestamp: 22 Oct 2022, considering that is a Windows OS for the username: andre

First we open the files and drop the variables that would mistakenly amplify the sample, and define labels.

The file is located and named as: E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/nine_st_msprep_oct22.dta

. //2022-10-09                                                                            
. *a) open                                                                                
.         //use "${pathdata2}five_st_msprep_apr22.dta",    clear                                                          
.         use "${pathdata2}nine_st_msprep_oct22_cc.dta",   clear                                                          

.         *label                                                                  
.         cap noi label variable id "Patient ID"

.         cap noi label variable group_match "Matching group at baseline"

.         cap noi label variable tipo_de_plan_res_1 "Baseline Setting (Residential)"

.         cap noi label variable TD_status  "Baseline treatment completion (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable DWCA_status "Baseline treatment non-completion (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission_status "Readmission (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmissionb_status "Readmission (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission2_status "Readmission (2nd treatment) (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission2b_status "Readmission (2nd treatment) (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission3_status "Readmission (3rd treatment) (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission3b_status "Readmission (3rd treatment) (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable TD_time "Time to Baseline treatment completion (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable DWCA_time "Time to Baseline treatment non-completion (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission_time "Time to Readmission (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmissionb_time "Time to Readmission (TNC)"    

.         cap noi label variable Readmission2_time "Time to Readmission (2nd treatment) (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission2b_time "Time to Readmission (2nd treatment) (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission3_time "Time to Readmission (3rd treatment) (TC)"

.         cap noi label variable Readmission3b_time "Time to Readmission (3rd treatment) (TNC)"

.         cap noi label variable cens_time "Censorship from administrative ecnsorship (2019-11-13) - first admission"                                                             

.         
. /*
> //2022-09-28 drop treatments without completion or not completion                                                                               
> *drop if DWCA_1 ==0 & TD_1 ==0                                                                          
> cap noi rename TD_1 TD_status                                                                           
> cap noi rename DWCA_1 DWCA_status                                                                               
> //2022-09-28 generate time-to completion/noncompletion                                                                          
> gen TD_time = dias_treat_imp_sin_na_1                                                                           
> replace TD_time=cens_time if TD_status==0                                                                               
> gen DWCA_time = dias_treat_imp_sin_na_1                                                                         
> replace DWCA_time=cens_time if DWCA_status==0                                                                           
>                                                                                 
> //2022-09-28                                                                            
> gen Readmissionb_time = Readmission_time
> gen Readmission2b_time = Readmission2_time                                                                              
> gen Readmission3b_time = Readmission3_time                                                                              
> gen Readmission4b_time = Readmission4_time                                                                              
> gen Readmissionb_status = Readmission_status                                                                            
> gen Readmission2b_status = Readmission2_status                                                                          
> gen Readmission3b_status = Readmission3_status                                                                          
> gen Readmission4b_status = Readmission4_status                                                                          
> 
> *DWCA                                                                           
> replace Readmissionb_status = 0 if TD_status==1                                                                                 
> replace Readmission2b_status = 0 if TD_status==1                                                                                
> replace Readmission3b_status = 0 if TD_status==1                                                                                
> replace Readmission4b_status = 0 if TD_status==1                                                                                
>                                                                                 
> *TD
> replace Readmission_status = 0 if DWCA_status==1                                                                                
> replace Readmission2_status = 0 if DWCA_status==1                                                                               
> replace Readmission3_status = 0 if DWCA_status==1                                                                               
> replace Readmission4_status = 0 if DWCA_status==1                       
> 
> *if readmission occurred, we substract the time in each treatment trajectory
> replace Readmission_time=Readmission_time-TD_time if Readmission_status==1 & TD_status==1                                                                               
> replace Readmissionb_time=Readmissionb_time-DWCA_time if Readmission_statusb==1 & DWCA_status==1        
> 
> *if it is censored because readmission did not happen
> replace Readmission_time=cens_time if Readmission_status==0                                                             
> replace Readmissionb_time=cens_time if Readmissionb_status==0
> 
> order id tipo_de_plan_res_1 cens_time TD_status TD_time DWCA_status DWCA_time Readmission_status Readmission_time Readmissionb_status Readmissionb_time Readmission2_status Readmission2_time Readmission2b_sta
> tus Readmission2b_time Readmission3_status Readmission3_time Readmission3b_status Readmission3b_time
> 
> *do it again  just in case
> replace Readmission_time=cens_time if Readmission_status==0                                                             
> replace Readmissionb_time=cens_time if Readmissionb_status==0
> replace Readmission2_time=cens_time if Readmission2_status==0                                                           
> replace Readmission2b_time=cens_time if Readmission2b_status==0
> replace Readmission3_time=cens_time if Readmission3_status==0                                                           
> replace Readmission3b_time=cens_time if Readmission3b_status==0
> replace Readmission4_time=cens_time if Readmission4_status==0                                                           
> replace Readmission4b_time=cens_time if Readmission4b_status==0
> */
. 
. order id tipo_de_plan_res_1 cens_time TD_status TD_time DWCA_status DWCA_time Readmission_status Readmission_time Readmissionb_status Readmissionb_time Readmission2_status Readmission2_time Readmission2b_sta
> tus Readmission2b_time Readmission3_status Readmission3_time Readmission3b_status Readmission3b_time     

. 
. *I'm not sure if this is the problem. It seems that is not
. *drop if DWCA_status==0 & TD_status==0

Then we define the transition matrix:

. matrix mat_nine_states = ( ///                                                                          
> .,1,2,.,.,.,.,.,. \ ///
> .,.,.,3,.,.,.,.,. \ ///
> .,.,.,.,4,.,.,.,. \ ///
> .,.,.,.,.,5,.,.,. \ ///
> .,.,.,.,.,.,6,.,. \ ///
> .,.,.,.,.,.,.,7,. \ ///
> .,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,8 \ ///
> .,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,. \ ///
> .,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.  ///
> )                                                                               

. *a = completion
. *b = non-completion                                                                             <<
.                                                                                 
. matrix colnames mat_nine_states  = start TD_status DWCA_status Readmission_status Readmissionb_status Readmission2_status Readmission2b_status Readmission3_status Readmission3b_status 

. matrix rownames mat_nine_states   = start TD_status DWCA_status Readmission_status Readmissionb_status Readmission2_status Readmission2b_status Readmission3_status Readmission3b_status 

. matrix coleq mat_nine_states   = to to to to to to to to to 

. matrix roweq mat_nine_states  = from from from from from from from from from 

.                                                                                 
>
Transition matrix Transition matrix
   to >
   startTD_statusDWCA_statusReadmission_statusReadmissionb_statusReadmission2_statusReadmission2b > _statusReadmission3_statusReadmission3b_status
fromstart 1 2
   TD_status 3 >
   DWCA_status 4 >
   Readmission_status 5 >
   Readmissionb_status > 6
   Readmission2_status > 7
   Readmission2b_status > 8
   Readmission3_status >
   Readmission3b_status >

and transform the database in a long format according to the specifications and the transition matrix.






Finally, the database adopt the following structure:















































Set the database as a renewal time.

. *stset _stop, enter(_start) failure(_status=1) //* scale(365.25) id(id) 
. 
. *file:///G:/Mi%20unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT%202019%20(github)/_supp_mstates/stata/crowther2017%20(1).pdf
. stset _time, failure(_status==1)

     failure event:  _status == 1
obs. time interval:  (0, _time]
 exit on or before:  failure

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     49,062  total observations
          0  exclusions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     49,062  observations remaining, representing
     18,534  failures in single-record/single-failure data
   33940751  total analysis time at risk and under observation
                                                at risk from t =         0
                                     earliest observed entry t =         0
                                          last observed exit t =     4,145

. 
. 
. forvalues i = 1/8 {
  2. stphplot if _trans==`i', by(tipo_de_plan_res_1) ///
>         scheme(sj) graphregion(color(white)) ///
>         legend(pos(1) ring(0) col(1) symysize(zero) keygap(1) symxsize(large) order( 1 2) lab(1 "Ambulatory") lab(2 "Residential") size(small)) ///
>         note("{it:Note. Means and 95% CI's}",size(vsmall)) ///
>         title("Loglog Surv vs. logtime by Tr. Setting (Trans.=`i')", size(small)) name(stphplot_res_`i', replace) ///
>         saving(stphplot_res_`i'_22_corr3_cc.gph, replace)
  3. }

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_1_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_2_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_3_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_4_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_5_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_6_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_7_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

         failure _d:  _status == 1
   analysis time _t:  _time
(file stphplot_res_8_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

. 
. graph combine "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_1_22_corr3_cc.gph" "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_2_22_corr3_cc.gph" "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_3_22_corr3_cc.gph" "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_4_22_corr3_cc.gph" ///
>         "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_5_22_corr3_cc.gph" "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_6_22_corr3_cc.gph" "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_7_22_corr3_cc.gph" "${pathdata}\stphplot_res_8_22_corr3_cc.gph", ///
> colfirst ycommon xcommon iscale(*.7) imargin(tiny) graphregion(color(gs16)) ///
> title("Combination of −ln{−ln(survival)} vs. ln(analysis time)" "Renewal time", size(medium)) cols(4) /// *subtitle("{it:}", size(small)) ///
> note("{it:              Note: Ordered by columns, from up to down, left to right}", size(tiny)) ///
> name(tr_ph_ln_srv_t_res_s_corr3_cc, replace)

. 
. local num 1 2 3 4 5 6 8

. foreach i of local num {
  2. gr_edit .plotregion1.graph`i'.legend.draw_view.setstyle, style(no)
  3. }

=============================================================================

Aalen-Johanssen, Non-parametric transition probabilities

=============================================================================

Generated an Aalen-Johanssen estimator to obtain the transition probabilities of the data from the time 0 (from admission). For this, we separated the transition probabilities according to the setting at baseline.

. *http://fmwww.bc.edu/repec/bocode/m/msaj.ado
. msaj, transmatrix(mat_nine_states) by(tipo_de_plan_res_1) ci

. rename (P_AJ_*) (ajprob*)

To generate figures, we select the valid transitions

Calculate transition probabilities from a determined states in times 90, 365 (1 year), 1096 (3 years) & 1826 (5 years).

variable trp_ajprob* not found



variable _t2 not found

(25,021 real changes made)

(file msaj_12_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_13_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_24_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_35_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_46_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_57_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_68_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

(file msaj_79_jun_22_corr3_cc.gph saved)

Aalen-Johanssen, Probability Tables

Transition Probabilities from Admission to Treatment completion with confidence intervals

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_12 trp_ajprob_30_1826_12_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_12_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj12 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_12, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_12_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_12_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_12, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_12_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_12_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj12 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj12) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj12_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj12_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj12
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths 0 0 0 0 0 .1
1_yr 12.9 12.1 13.8 23.1 22 24.2
3_yrs 22.8 21.7 24 32.1 30.8 33.4
5_yrs 20.6 19.4 21.9 28.6 27.2 29.9

Transition Probabilities from Admission to Treatment Non-completion

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_13 trp_ajprob_30_1826_13_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_13_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj13 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_13, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_13_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_13_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_13, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_13_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_13_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj13 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj13) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj13_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj13_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj13
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths .2 .1 .3 .2 .1 .2
1_yr 46.3 45 47.5 30.9 29.7 32.1
3_yrs 46.8 45.6 48.1 30.2 29.1 31.4
5_yrs 43 41.8 44.3 27.6 26.5 28.7

Transition Probabilities from Treatment Completion to Readmission

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_24 trp_ajprob_30_1826_24_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_24_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj24 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_24, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_24_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_24_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_24, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_24_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_24_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj24 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj24) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj24_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj24_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj24
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths 0 0 0 0 0 .1
1_yr 7.8 6.4 9.3 10.6 9.3 12
3_yrs 16.2 13.9 18.4 21.6 19.7 23.5
5_yrs 22.2 19.1 25.2 26.9 24.6 29.2

Transition Probabilities from Treatment Non-completion to Readmission

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_35 trp_ajprob_30_1826_35_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_35_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj35 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_35, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_35_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_35_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_35, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_35_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_35_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj35 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj35) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj35_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj35_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj35
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths .1 0 .1 0 0 .1
1_yr 9.4 8.6 10.3 13.3 12.2 14.5
3_yrs 17.6 16.5 18.8 23.1 21.7 24.5
5_yrs 22.2 20.7 23.6 26.7 25 28.3

Transition Probabilities from Readmission to Second Readmission (TC)

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_46 trp_ajprob_30_1826_46_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_46_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj46 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_46, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_46_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_46_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_46, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_46_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_46_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj46 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj46) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj46_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj46_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj46
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths 0 0 0 0 0 0
1_yr 7.6 4.6 10.6 10.5 8.4 12.7
3_yrs 22.7 17.2 28.3 23.9 20.5 27.4
5_yrs 27.6 20.9 34.3 29.5 25.3 33.7

Transition Probabilities from Readmission to Second Readmission (TNC)

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_57 trp_ajprob_30_1826_57_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_57_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj57 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_57, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_57_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_57_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_57, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_57_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_57_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj57 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj57) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj57_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj57_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj57
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths 0 0 .1 0 0 .1
1_yr 12.7 10.9 14.5 10.9 9.4 12.4
3_yrs 25.1 22.5 27.6 24.9 22.6 27.2
5_yrs 26.4 23.1 29.6 27.1 24.2 30.1

Transition Probabilities from Second to Third Readmission (TC)

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_68 trp_ajprob_30_1826_68_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_68_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj68 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_68, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_68_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_68_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_68, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_68_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_68_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj68 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj68) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj68_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj68_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj68
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths 0 0 0 0 0 0
1_yr 16.2 7.7 24.6 9.8 5.9 13.7
3_yrs 37 24.9 49.1 32 24.8 39.1
5_yrs 41.4 28.7 54 38.4 30.4 46.3

Transition Probabilities from Second to Third Readmission (TNC)

. foreach var of varlist trp_ajprob_30_1826_79 trp_ajprob_30_1826_79_lci trp_ajprob_30_1826_79_uci  {
  2.                                 scalar variable = "`var'"
  3.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  4.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  5.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  6.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  7.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
  8.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
  9.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==0 
 10.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 11.          cap noi matrix e_a_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 12.          matrix colnames e_a_`var' = `var'
 13.          matrix rownames e_a_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 14.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 90, 91) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1 
 15.                                         scalar e3m_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 16.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 365, 366) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 17.                                         scalar e1y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 18.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t, 1096, 1096) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 19.                                         scalar e3y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 20.                                         qui summarize `var' if inrange(_t,  1812, 1827) & tipo_de_plan_res_1==1
 21.                                         scalar e5y_`var' = round(round(r(mean),.001)*100,.1)
 22.          cap noi matrix e_b_`var' = (`=scalar(e3m_`var')'\  `=scalar(e1y_`var')'\ `=scalar(scalar(e3y_`var'))'\ `=scalar(scalar(e5y_`var'))')
 23.          matrix colnames e_b_`var' = `var'
 24.          matrix rownames e_b_`var' = 3_mths 1_yr 3_yrs 5_yrs
 25.  }

. 
. matrix est_msaj79 = (e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_79, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_79_lci, e_a_trp_ajprob_30_1826_79_uci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_79, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_79_lci, e_b_trp_ajprob_30_1826_79_uci)

. matrix colnames est_msaj79 = Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

. 
. esttab matrix(est_msaj79) using "${pathdata2}pr_msaj79_corr3_cc.html", replace 
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/pr_msaj79_corr3_cc.html)

The transition probabilities are presented here:


est_msaj79
Est_Amb LCI UCI Est_Res LCI UCI

3_mths 0 0 0 0 0 0
1_yr 11.7 8.6 14.9 14.9 11.8 18
3_yrs 33 28 38 36.1 31.5 40.6
5_yrs 45.1 39 51.3 47.1 41.8 52.5

=============================================================================

Parametric Models

=============================================================================

Intercept-only

We generated a list of parametric and intercept-only survival models with different distributions (Exponential, Weibull, Gompertz, Log-logistic, Log-normal & Generalized gamma. Aditionally, we defined a series of Royston-Parmar models with a function of restricted cubic splines, in which the knots (#df -1) are defined in each percentile of the distribution. We saved the estimates in the file called `parmodels_m_jun_22_corr3_cc’.

. forvalues i = 1/8 {
  2.         // Exponential
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
  3.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Exp (intercept-only)}"
  4.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
  5.         set seed 2125
  6.         qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(exponential, fail(_status)))
  7.         estimates store m`i'_exp
  8.         // Weibull
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
  9.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Wei (intercept-only)}"
 10.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 11.         set seed 2125
 12.         qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(weibull, fail(_status)))
 13.         estimates store m`i'_weib
 14.         // Gompertz
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 15.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Gomp (intercept-only)}"
 16.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 17.         set seed 2125
 18.         qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(gompertz, fail(_status)))
 19.         estimates store m`i'_gom
 20.         // Log logistic
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 21.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Logl (intercept-only)}"
 22.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 23.         set seed 2125
 24.         qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(loglogistic, fail(_status)))
 25.         estimates store m`i'_logl
 26.         // Log normal
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 27.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Logn (intercept-only)}"
 28.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 29.         set seed 2125
 30.         qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(lognormal, fail(_status)))
 31.         estimates store m`i'_logn
 32.         // Generalised gamma
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 33.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Ggam (intercept-only)}"
 34.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 35.         set seed 2125
 36.         qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(ggamma, fail(_status)))
 37.         estimates store m`i'_ggam
 38.         // Royston Parmar models
.         forvalues j=2/10 {
 39.                 set seed 2125
 40.                 di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 41.                 di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family RP`j' (intercept-only)}"
 42.                 di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 43.                 qui cap noi merlin (_time if _trans == `i', family(rp, df(`j') fail(_status)))
 44.                 estimates store m`i'_rp`j'
 45.         }       
 46. }
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -33004.87  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30771.906  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30755.104  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -30755.07  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -30755.07  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =  -30755.07
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -7.502922   .0166275  -451.24   0.000    -7.535511   -7.470333
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -33004.793  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -31036.522  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -30785.03  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30729.277  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -30728.52  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -30728.519  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30728.519
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -6.980504   .0719004   -97.09   0.000    -7.121427   -6.839582
  log(gamma) |  -.0805831   .0113235    -7.12   0.000    -.1027767   -.0583894
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.97e+181  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1783598.5  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -1763417.2  (backed up)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -1763417.2  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -1763417.2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -528.4416          .        .       .            .           .
       gamma |   .1201541          .        .       .            .           .
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -101538.84  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -35901.79  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -31157.807  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30643.466  (backed up)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30222.081  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30221.211  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -30221.211  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30221.211
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   6.897102   .0201936   341.55   0.000     6.857523     6.93668
       dap:1 |  -.2353283   .0124673   -18.88   0.000    -.2597637   -.2108928
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

initial values not feasible

-> Starting values failed - trying zero vector

initial values not feasible
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -135492.84  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -33054.112  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -32893.274  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30726.498  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30344.055  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30340.595  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -30340.396  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -30340.389  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -30340.386  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -30340.386  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -30340.385  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -30340.385  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -30340.384  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -30340.384  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -30340.366  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -30340.366  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -30340.363  
could not calculate numerical derivatives -- discontinuous region with missing values encountered
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -30510.961  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29847.664  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29761.997  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29761.921  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -29761.921  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -29761.921
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -3.08919   .0398089   -77.60   0.000    -3.167214   -3.011166
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -32686.473  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30340.884  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29657.199  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29194.784  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -29041.34  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28809.209  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood =  -28398.16  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28393.026  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28392.925  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28392.925  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28392.925
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.684064   .0301793   -88.94   0.000    -2.743214   -2.624913
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -30702.676  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29926.016  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29652.197  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29435.316  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -29112.47  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28471.426  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28419.829  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28392.174  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28385.009  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28384.763  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -28384.763  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28384.763
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.747691    .034243   -80.24   0.000    -2.814806   -2.680575
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -31829.702  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30697.182  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29899.774  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29632.416  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -29218.468  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28403.578  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28384.545  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28384.352  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28384.347  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28384.347  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28384.347
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.753567   .0351458   -78.35   0.000    -2.822452   -2.684683
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -31827.31  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -30694.16  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29899.678  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29401.959  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28405.056  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28377.286  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28377.084  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28377.084  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28377.084
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -2.76343   .0360374   -76.68   0.000    -2.834062   -2.692798
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -31811.703  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30677.656  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29884.331  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29007.786  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28376.827  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28364.939  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28364.865  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28364.865  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28364.865
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.736597   .0358457   -76.34   0.000    -2.806854   -2.666341
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -31799.677  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30663.463  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30239.267  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29894.505  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -29620.03  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =  -29196.29  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28372.323  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28354.334  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28354.206  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28354.202  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -28354.202  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28354.202
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.721032   .0355965   -76.44   0.000      -2.7908   -2.651264
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -30679.037  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29905.084  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29430.139  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -28468.185  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28400.053  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28358.398  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28349.126  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28348.793  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28348.792  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28348.792
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.714716   .0355034   -76.46   0.000    -2.784301   -2.645131
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -30645.301  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29871.618  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -28546.341  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -28389.89  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28356.835  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28348.923  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28348.852  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28348.852  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28348.852
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -2.711124   .0354617   -76.45   0.000    -2.780628    -2.64162
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79835.184  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -67737.098  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -67682.396  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -67682.199  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -67682.199  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -67682.199
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -6.602179   .0105982  -622.95   0.000    -6.622951   -6.581407
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79815.179  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -71404.21  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -67958.648  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -65709.661  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -65311.229  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -65297.499  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -65297.405  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -65297.405  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -65297.405
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -4.019773    .033557  -119.79   0.000    -4.085544   -3.954003
  log(gamma) |  -.5041002   .0084636   -59.56   0.000    -.5206884   -.4875119
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.97e+181  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -4566746.7  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -4566746.7  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -4566746.7
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -528.4416          .        .       .            .           .
       gamma |    .103765          .        .       .            .           .
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -122115.27  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -64522.367  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -64185.663  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -64184.605  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64184.605  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64184.605
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   5.767824   .0170744   337.81   0.000     5.734359    5.801289
       dap:1 |   .1091099   .0090352    12.08   0.000     .0914012    .1268186
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

initial values not feasible

-> Starting values failed - trying zero vector

initial values not feasible
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -153679.94  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -67304.599  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -64928.903  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -64200.846  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -63943.68  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -63937.768  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -63937.768  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -63937.768
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   5.415546   .0292684   185.03   0.000     5.358181    5.472911
  log(sigma) |   .7245283   .0082025    88.33   0.000     .7084517    .7406049
       kappa |  -.6035536   .0290711   -20.76   0.000    -.6605319   -.5465753
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -63266.949  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -63164.419  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -63162.915  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -63162.914  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -63162.914
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9423673   .0120155   -78.43   0.000    -.9659172   -.9188173
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62580.085  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62555.992  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62555.743  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -62555.74  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =  -62555.74
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9096877   .0119219   -76.30   0.000    -.9330542   -.8863213
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -63089.22  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -62638.01  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -62571.57  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62550.197  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62550.169  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62550.169  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62550.169
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9090025   .0119223   -76.24   0.000    -.9323698   -.8856352
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -63090.467  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62630.642  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62569.572  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62548.074  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62548.052  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62548.052  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62548.052
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9087427   .0119215   -76.23   0.000    -.9321084    -.885377
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -63095.116  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62625.808  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62547.188  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62546.645  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62546.582  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62546.581  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62546.581
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9086394   .0119214   -76.22   0.000    -.9320049   -.8852739
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62590.423  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -62545.97  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -62545.17  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62545.137  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62545.137  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62545.137
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9085439   .0119211   -76.21   0.000    -.9319088    -.885179
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62605.641  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62556.809  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62544.364  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62544.334  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62544.334  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62544.334
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9085104   .0119211   -76.21   0.000    -.9318753   -.8851454
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62620.265  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62558.872  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62543.004  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62542.954  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62542.954  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62542.954
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9084939   .0119213   -76.21   0.000    -.9318593   -.8851285
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62630.171  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62559.719  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62540.224  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62540.019  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62540.009  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62540.009  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62540.009
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -.9084946   .0119217   -76.21   0.000    -.9318607   -.8851285
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10809.918  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10648.492  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10590.637  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10590.595  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10590.595  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10590.595
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -8.185251     .02945  -277.94   0.000    -8.242972    -8.12753
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10809.617  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10640.681  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10462.531  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10349.314  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10343.579  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10343.167  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10343.167  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10343.167
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -5.196049   .1159414   -44.82   0.000     -5.42329   -4.968808
  log(gamma) |  -.5292563   .0265835   -19.91   0.000    -.5813591   -.4771535
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2.27e+148  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -531549.19  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -489025.25  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -473384.6  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -467631.44  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -464702.03  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -55143.152  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -23222.762  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -13298.494  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -10494.178  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -10461.349  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -10456.595  
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -10456.592  
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -10456.592  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10456.592
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -7.578997   .0441567  -171.64   0.000    -7.665543   -7.492452
       gamma |  -.0008148   .0000547   -14.89   0.000     -.000922   -.0007075
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -29754.567  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -12578.232  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10498.552  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -10352.32  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10346.225  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10346.185  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10346.185  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10346.185
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   8.344612   .0665007   125.48   0.000     8.214273    8.474951
       dap:1 |   .4264015   .0260879    16.34   0.000     .3752702    .4775328
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -93798.402  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -12978.372  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10716.225  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10529.761  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10381.858  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10364.927  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10364.514  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10364.513  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10364.513
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   8.581319   .0803507   106.80   0.000     8.423835    8.738804
       dap:1 |   1.083367   .0231566    46.78   0.000     1.037981    1.128753
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -48629.546  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -13175.059  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -10656.72  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =   -10440.6  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10439.906  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10364.946  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10364.353  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10347.095  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10346.654  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -10346.549  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -10346.524  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -10346.519  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -10346.517  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -10346.516  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -10346.515  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -10346.514  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -10346.512  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -10346.511  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood =  -10346.51  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -10346.508  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -10346.507  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -10346.506  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -10346.503  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -10346.502  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood =   -10346.5  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood = -10346.499  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -10346.498  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -10346.489  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood =  -10346.48  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -10346.479  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood = -10346.477  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -10346.471  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -10346.467  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -10346.464  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood =  -10346.46  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood =  -10346.44  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood =  -10346.43  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -10346.428  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -10346.425  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood = -10346.421  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood = -10346.415  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -10346.407  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log likelihood = -10346.404  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -10346.401  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log likelihood =  -10346.39  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood =  -10346.38  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -10346.319  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log likelihood =  -10346.23  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log likelihood = -10346.225  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -10346.214  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log likelihood = -10346.205  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log likelihood = -10346.196  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log likelihood = -10346.189  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log likelihood = -10346.182  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log likelihood = -10346.175  (not concave)
Iteration 55:  log likelihood = -10346.168  (not concave)
Iteration 56:  log likelihood =  -10346.16  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log likelihood = -10346.152  (not concave)
Iteration 58:  log likelihood = -10346.145  (not concave)
Iteration 59:  log likelihood = -10346.136  (not concave)
Iteration 60:  log likelihood = -10346.128  (not concave)
Iteration 61:  log likelihood =  -10346.12  (not concave)
Iteration 62:  log likelihood = -10346.111  (not concave)
Iteration 63:  log likelihood = -10346.102  (not concave)
Iteration 64:  log likelihood = -10346.093  (not concave)
Iteration 65:  log likelihood = -10346.084  (not concave)
Iteration 66:  log likelihood = -10346.075  (not concave)
Iteration 67:  log likelihood = -10346.065  (not concave)
Iteration 68:  log likelihood = -10346.055  (not concave)
Iteration 69:  log likelihood = -10346.045  (not concave)
Iteration 70:  log likelihood = -10346.035  (not concave)
Iteration 71:  log likelihood = -10346.025  (not concave)
Iteration 72:  log likelihood = -10346.014  (not concave)
Iteration 73:  log likelihood = -10346.003  (not concave)
Iteration 74:  log likelihood = -10345.992  (not concave)
Iteration 75:  log likelihood =  -10345.98  (not concave)
Iteration 76:  log likelihood = -10345.968  (not concave)
Iteration 77:  log likelihood = -10345.956  (not concave)
Iteration 78:  log likelihood = -10345.944  (not concave)
Iteration 79:  log likelihood = -10345.932  (not concave)
Iteration 80:  log likelihood = -10345.919  (not concave)
Iteration 81:  log likelihood = -10345.906  (not concave)
Iteration 82:  log likelihood = -10345.892  (not concave)
Iteration 83:  log likelihood = -10345.878  (not concave)
Iteration 84:  log likelihood = -10345.864  (not concave)
Iteration 85:  log likelihood =  -10345.85  (not concave)
Iteration 86:  log likelihood = -10345.835  (not concave)
Iteration 87:  log likelihood =  -10345.82  (not concave)
Iteration 88:  log likelihood = -10345.805  (not concave)
Iteration 89:  log likelihood = -10345.789  (not concave)
Iteration 90:  log likelihood = -10345.773  (not concave)
Iteration 91:  log likelihood = -10345.757  (not concave)
Iteration 92:  log likelihood =  -10345.74  (not concave)
Iteration 93:  log likelihood = -10345.723  (not concave)
Iteration 94:  log likelihood = -10345.705  (not concave)
Iteration 95:  log likelihood = -10345.688  (not concave)
Iteration 96:  log likelihood = -10345.669  (not concave)
Iteration 97:  log likelihood = -10345.651  (not concave)
Iteration 98:  log likelihood = -10345.631  (not concave)
Iteration 99:  log likelihood = -10345.612  (not concave)
Iteration 100: log likelihood = -10345.592  (not concave)
Iteration 101: log likelihood = -10345.572  (not concave)
Iteration 102: log likelihood = -10345.551  (not concave)
Iteration 103: log likelihood =  -10345.53  (not concave)
Iteration 104: log likelihood = -10345.508  (not concave)
Iteration 105: log likelihood = -10345.486  (not concave)
Iteration 106: log likelihood = -10345.464  (not concave)
Iteration 107: log likelihood = -10345.441  (not concave)
Iteration 108: log likelihood = -10345.417  (not concave)
Iteration 109: log likelihood = -10345.394  (not concave)
Iteration 110: log likelihood = -10345.369  (not concave)
Iteration 111: log likelihood = -10345.345  (not concave)
Iteration 112: log likelihood = -10345.319  (not concave)
Iteration 113: log likelihood = -10345.294  (not concave)
Iteration 114: log likelihood = -10345.268  (not concave)
Iteration 115: log likelihood = -10345.241  (not concave)
Iteration 116: log likelihood = -10345.214  (not concave)
Iteration 117: log likelihood = -10345.187  (not concave)
Iteration 118: log likelihood = -10345.159  (not concave)
Iteration 119: log likelihood = -10345.131  (not concave)
Iteration 120: log likelihood = -10345.102  (not concave)
Iteration 121: log likelihood = -10345.073  (not concave)
Iteration 122: log likelihood = -10345.044  (not concave)
Iteration 123: log likelihood = -10345.014  (not concave)
Iteration 124: log likelihood = -10344.984  (not concave)
Iteration 125: log likelihood = -10344.953  (not concave)
Iteration 126: log likelihood = -10344.922  (not concave)
Iteration 127: log likelihood = -10344.891  (not concave)
Iteration 128: log likelihood = -10344.859  (not concave)
Iteration 129: log likelihood = -10344.828  (not concave)
Iteration 130: log likelihood = -10344.795  (not concave)
Iteration 131: log likelihood = -10344.763  (not concave)
Iteration 132: log likelihood =  -10344.73  (not concave)
Iteration 133: log likelihood = -10344.697  (not concave)
Iteration 134: log likelihood = -10344.664  (not concave)
Iteration 135: log likelihood = -10344.631  (not concave)
Iteration 136: log likelihood = -10344.597  (not concave)
Iteration 137: log likelihood = -10344.564  (not concave)
Iteration 138: log likelihood =  -10344.53  (not concave)
Iteration 139: log likelihood = -10344.497  (not concave)
Iteration 140: log likelihood = -10344.463  (not concave)
Iteration 141: log likelihood = -10344.429  
Iteration 142: log likelihood = -10343.214  (backed up)
Iteration 143: log likelihood = -10343.102  
Iteration 144: log likelihood = -10343.102  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10343.102
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   8.813979   .0703557   125.28   0.000     8.676084    8.951873
  log(sigma) |   .5716497   .1163154     4.91   0.000     .3436756    .7996238
       kappa |   .9334468    .178177     5.24   0.000     .5842262    1.282667
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10346.862  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10343.045  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10343.038  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10343.038  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10343.038
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390061   .0314176   -44.24   0.000    -1.451639   -1.328484
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10346.943  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10343.043  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10343.037  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10343.037  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10343.037
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390052   .0314182   -44.24   0.000     -1.45163   -1.328473
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10347.097  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10343.009  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10343.003  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10343.003  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10343.003
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390024   .0314183   -44.24   0.000    -1.451603   -1.328445
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10351.082  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10340.998  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10340.861  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10340.861  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10340.861
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390077   .0314221   -44.24   0.000    -1.451663   -1.328491
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10365.414  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10338.056  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10337.191  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -10337.19  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -10337.19  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood =  -10337.19
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390175    .031425   -44.24   0.000    -1.451767   -1.328583
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10417.524  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10347.733  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10332.848  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10332.202  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =   -10332.2  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =   -10332.2  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood =   -10332.2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390337    .031427   -44.24   0.000    -1.451933   -1.328741
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10466.007  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10334.431  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10330.438  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10330.387  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10330.387  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10330.387
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390422   .0314279   -44.24   0.000    -1.452019   -1.328824
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10477.616  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10337.725  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10328.342  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10327.993  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10327.993  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10327.993
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390505   .0314283   -44.24   0.000    -1.452103   -1.328906
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10489.045  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10343.655  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10326.271  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10324.691  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10324.685  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10324.685  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10324.685
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.390537   .0314287   -44.24   0.000    -1.452136   -1.328937
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28565.984  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28133.588  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27966.431  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27966.252  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27966.252  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27966.252
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -8.17227   .0181101  -451.25   0.000    -8.207765   -8.136775
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28564.882  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28089.306  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27567.302  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27150.963  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27118.693  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27101.721  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27101.658  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -27101.658  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27101.658
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -4.849437   .0672436   -72.12   0.000    -4.981233   -4.717642
  log(gamma) |  -.6046779   .0164744   -36.70   0.000    -.6369671   -.5723888
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.91e+150  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1416767.8  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -1009291.2  (backed up)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -1009291.2  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -1009291.2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -386.8598          .        .       .            .           .
       gamma |   .1022264          .        .       .            .           .
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -74451.671  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -32114.35  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30870.691  (backed up)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27390.609  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27122.174  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27080.704  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27080.555  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27080.555  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27080.555
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   8.322103   .0429042   193.97   0.000     8.238012    8.406193
       dap:1 |   .4893342   .0160515    30.49   0.000     .4578739    .5207946
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -234224.24  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29807.842  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27482.287  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27419.787  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27077.249  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27074.221  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27074.211  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27074.211  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27074.211
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   8.504163   .0501693   169.51   0.000     8.405833    8.602493
       dap:1 |   1.109732     .01438    77.17   0.000     1.081547    1.137916
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -122574.49  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -33774.448  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27747.385  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27249.811  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27115.311  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -27069.56  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27068.706  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27068.695  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -27068.695  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27068.695
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   8.652348   .0613751   140.97   0.000     8.532055    8.772641
  log(sigma) |   .9944503   .0399946    24.86   0.000     .9160624    1.072838
       kappa |    .279521   .0821617     3.40   0.001      .118487    .4405549
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27082.489  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27071.657  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27071.641  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27071.641  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27071.641
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299244   .0191301   -67.92   0.000    -1.336738   -1.261749
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27081.064  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27070.259  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27070.236  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27070.236  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27070.236
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299225   .0191302   -67.91   0.000     -1.33672    -1.26173
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27085.099  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27070.111  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27070.091  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27070.091  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27070.091
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299318    .019131   -67.92   0.000    -1.336814   -1.261822
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27097.063  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27067.471  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27067.088  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27067.088  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27067.088
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299233   .0191312   -67.91   0.000     -1.33673   -1.261737
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27099.462  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27058.071  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27057.642  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27057.642  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27057.642
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -1.29925   .0191315   -67.91   0.000    -1.336747   -1.261753
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27104.534  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27051.329  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27050.595  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27050.595  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27050.595
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299464   .0191328   -67.92   0.000    -1.336964   -1.261965
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27114.384  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27047.746  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -27046.93  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -27046.93  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood =  -27046.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -1.29957   .0191335   -67.92   0.000    -1.337071   -1.262069
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27125.327  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27046.892  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27045.241  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27045.238  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27045.238  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27045.238
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299614   .0191339   -67.92   0.000    -1.337116   -1.262113
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27126.936  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27046.671  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27043.927  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27043.915  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27043.915  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27043.915
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.299627    .019134   -67.92   0.000    -1.337129   -1.262125
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.2582  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3147.0149  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3128.6456  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3128.6272  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3128.6272  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3128.6272
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -8.17486    .054153  -150.96   0.000    -8.280998   -8.068722
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.2567  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3132.5725  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3127.2853  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3127.0322  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3127.0312  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3127.0312  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3127.0312
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -7.615595   .3101351   -24.56   0.000    -8.223449   -7.007742
  log(gamma) |  -.0804628   .0458614    -1.75   0.079    -.1703495     .009424
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -5.11e+144  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -154980.54  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -154980.54  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -154980.54
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -522.2914          .        .       .            .           .
       gamma |   .1028544          .        .       .            .           .
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9666.5506  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3530.9297  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3153.8295  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3118.2415  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3117.6135  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3117.6112  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3117.6112  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3117.6112
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.872048   .0751434   104.76   0.000      7.72477    8.019327
       dap:1 |  -.0608289   .0454108    -1.34   0.180    -.1498323    .0281746
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -30146.948  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -4322.011  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3499.8309  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3365.2348  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3232.9552  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -3189.867  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3109.4482  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3107.5139  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3107.5119  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3107.5119  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.5119
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.947272   .0839818    94.63   0.000     7.782671    8.111873
       dap:1 |   .5196152   .0418372    12.42   0.000     .4376159    .6016146
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -15398.597  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -4170.4118  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3839.8592  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3587.0474  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3563.7526  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3545.1808  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3543.3324  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3542.5933  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3542.5563  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3542.5559  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -3542.5551  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood =  -3542.555  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -3148.9151  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -3114.6942  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -3104.6333  
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -3103.8973  
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -3103.8923  
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -3103.8923  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3103.8923
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.603532   .1748442    43.49   0.000     7.260844    7.946221
  log(sigma) |   .6821254   .0586436    11.63   0.000     .5671861    .7970646
       kappa |  -.6979309   .2667403    -2.62   0.009    -1.220732   -.1751296
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3104.6554  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.8442  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3101.8354  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3101.8354  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3101.8354
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.590355   .0614808   -25.87   0.000    -1.710855   -1.469854
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3104.2857  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.3024  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3101.2928  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3101.2928  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3101.2928
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.588154   .0614596   -25.84   0.000    -1.708612   -1.467695
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3104.2643  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.2335  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3101.2236  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3101.2236  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3101.2236
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.588591   .0614803   -25.84   0.000     -1.70909   -1.468092
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3104.5798  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.2701  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3101.2591  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3101.2591  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3101.2591
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.588418     .06148   -25.84   0.000    -1.708916   -1.467919
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3104.5374  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.1179  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3101.1064  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3101.1064  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3101.1064
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.588133   .0614721   -25.84   0.000    -1.708616    -1.46765
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3105.0787  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3100.977  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3100.9562  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3100.9562  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3100.9562
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.588075   .0614704   -25.83   0.000    -1.708555   -1.467596
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3106.1297  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3100.3056  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3100.1893  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3100.1892  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3100.1892
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.588063   .0614693   -25.84   0.000     -1.70854   -1.467585
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3107.9954  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3099.9079  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.4358  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.4351  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.4351  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.4351
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.587499   .0614535   -25.83   0.000    -1.707945   -1.467052
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3108.5724  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3100.0712  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.4561  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.4547  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.4547  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.4547
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.587541   .0614542   -25.83   0.000    -1.707989   -1.467093
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.9538  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9296.2002  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9215.4237  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9215.1474  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9215.1474  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9215.1474
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -8.114884   .0314503  -258.02   0.000    -8.176525   -8.053242
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.9294  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9230.7546  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9208.8701  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9192.4305  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9192.4011  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9192.4011  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9192.4011
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -6.939372   .1678568   -41.34   0.000    -7.268365   -6.610378
  log(gamma) |  -.1766317   .0272358    -6.49   0.000    -.2300128   -.1232506
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.77e+149  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -462662.25  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -444155.76  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -429942.78  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -427196.2  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -418889.04  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -40355.643  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -33372.189  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -24567.566  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -10315.198  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -9829.7295  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood =   -9153.76  
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -9135.7667  
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -9135.6877  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -9135.6877  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9135.6877
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -7.62898   .0471144  -161.92   0.000    -7.721323   -7.536638
       gamma |  -.0006681   .0000575   -11.61   0.000    -.0007809   -.0005553
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -26309.115  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9974.5653  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -9534.525  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9181.6184  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9161.1239  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9160.6614  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9160.6613  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9160.6613
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.847126    .046907   167.29   0.000      7.75519    7.939062
       dap:1 |   .0256927   .0267766     0.96   0.337    -.0267885     .078174
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -81352.372  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10446.115  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -9193.506  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -9141.406  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9131.8129  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9131.7748  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9131.7748  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9131.7748
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.922651   .0519894   152.39   0.000     7.820753    8.024548
       dap:1 |   .5963929   .0246697    24.18   0.000     .5480411    .6447447
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -41995.107  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -11769.008  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9195.2353  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9151.4399  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9124.4033  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9123.8146  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9123.8131  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -9123.8131  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9123.8131
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.658352   .0910141    84.14   0.000     7.479968    7.836737
  log(sigma) |   .7260333   .0356232    20.38   0.000     .6562132    .7958535
       kappa |  -.5145519   .1298686    -3.96   0.000    -.7690896   -.2600142
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9104.7114  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -9102.963  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9102.9618  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9102.9618  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9102.9618
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -1.40961   .0344045   -40.97   0.000    -1.477042   -1.342178
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9103.7722  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9097.2739  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9097.1984  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9097.1984  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9097.1984
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.406003   .0343933   -40.88   0.000    -1.473413   -1.338594
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9098.1346  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9092.0674  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9092.0348  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9092.0348  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9092.0348
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.407697   .0344194   -40.90   0.000    -1.475157   -1.340236
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9106.4158  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9092.6711  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9092.3927  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9092.3926  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9092.3926
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.407868   .0344263   -40.90   0.000    -1.475342   -1.340394
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9106.2541  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9092.2671  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9091.9355  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9091.9353  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9091.9353
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.407699   .0344257   -40.89   0.000    -1.475172   -1.340226
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9105.8476  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9092.1743  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9091.8558  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9091.8556  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9091.8556
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.407783   .0344281   -40.89   0.000    -1.475261   -1.340306
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9105.1805  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9091.8573  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9091.5627  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9091.5625  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9091.5625
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.407924   .0344314   -40.89   0.000    -1.475409    -1.34044
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9105.7937  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9091.7245  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9091.3398  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9091.3395  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9091.3395
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.408043    .034434   -40.89   0.000    -1.475533   -1.340554
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9106.2438  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9091.6277  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9091.1414  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9091.1405  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9091.1405
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.408156   .0344365   -40.89   0.000     -1.47565   -1.340661
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.34261  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -899.22602  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -888.76789  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -888.70038  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -888.70036  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -888.70036
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -8.068371   .1010152   -79.87   0.000    -8.266357   -7.870385
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.34164  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -890.24676  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -887.92346  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -887.85347  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -887.85336  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -887.85336  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -887.85336
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -7.343704   .5479418   -13.40   0.000     -8.41765   -6.269757
  log(gamma) |  -.1071811   .0843921    -1.27   0.204    -.2725866    .0582243
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2.57e+139  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -45547.489  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -45547.489  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -45547.489
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -521.8191          .        .       .            .           .
       gamma |   .1028153          .        .       .            .           .
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2765.0566  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -1019.452  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -902.72887  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -885.59487  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -884.26439  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -884.25987  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -884.25987  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -884.25987
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.762773   .1427529    54.38   0.000     7.482983    8.042564
       dap:1 |  -.0446679      .0838    -0.53   0.594    -.2089127     .119577
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -8494.3717  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1229.3031  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -985.47425  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -937.70879  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -910.5507  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -901.03543  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =  -880.9442  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -880.52301  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -880.51929  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -880.51929  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -880.51929
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.830992   .1575446    49.71   0.000      7.52221    8.139773
       dap:1 |   .5247756   .0775609     6.77   0.000     .3727589    .6767922
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -4292.9639  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1171.3091  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -898.21885  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -883.19555  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -877.86384  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -877.70758  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -877.70509  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -877.70509  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -877.70509
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.145514   .3649287    19.58   0.000     6.430267    7.860761
  log(sigma) |   .7130105   .0791186     9.01   0.000     .5579408    .8680802
       kappa |  -1.199825   .5032126    -2.38   0.017    -2.186104   -.2135468
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -879.79326  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -878.59034  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -878.58694  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -878.58694  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -878.58694
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.665699   .1179551   -14.12   0.000    -1.896887   -1.434512
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -879.4052  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -878.19501  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -878.19222  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -878.19222  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -878.19222
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.664826   .1179514   -14.11   0.000    -1.896006   -1.433645
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -876.49513  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -874.9505  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -874.94558  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -874.94558  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -874.94558
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.674414   .1185614   -14.12   0.000     -1.90679   -1.442038
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -876.38342  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -874.52802  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -874.51905  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -874.51904  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -874.51904
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.678768   .1191281   -14.09   0.000    -1.912255   -1.445281
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -876.25762  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -874.40901  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -874.39379  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -874.39379  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -874.39379
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.678894   .1192452   -14.08   0.000     -1.91261   -1.445177
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -876.46452  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -874.1936  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -874.11695  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -874.11659  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -874.11659  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -874.11659
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.679269   .1193659   -14.07   0.000    -1.913222   -1.445316
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -892.35131  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -873.04033  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -872.86182  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -872.85989  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -872.85989  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -872.85989
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.680068    .119473   -14.06   0.000    -1.914231   -1.445906
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -890.85974  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -871.56523  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -871.36816  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -871.36703  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -871.36703  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -871.36703
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.676369   .1191704   -14.07   0.000    -1.909938   -1.442799
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -890.94591  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -871.28923  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -871.05526  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -871.05425  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -871.05425  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -871.05425
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.675735     .11911   -14.07   0.000    -1.909187   -1.442284
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Exp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.7201  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3323.3261  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3224.8609  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -3224.856  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -3224.856  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood =  -3224.856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -7.908442   .0525588  -150.47   0.000    -8.011455   -7.805429
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Wei (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3349.719  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3246.7065  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3228.8762  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3224.4224  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3223.9612  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3223.9581  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3223.9581  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3223.9581
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -7.501698   .3027184   -24.78   0.000    -8.095015   -6.908381
  log(gamma) |  -.0583719   .0441374    -1.32   0.186    -.1448795    .0281357
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Gomp (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2.59e+140  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -164308.05  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -142385.91  (backed up)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -141194.93  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -139942.49  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -24616.457  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -24221.514  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -7250.2059  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -4905.1724  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3969.2846  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -3491.1959  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -3230.5586  
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -3214.3364  
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -3213.9034  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -3213.9031  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3213.9031
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   -7.61004    .079821   -95.34   0.000    -7.766487   -7.453594
       gamma |  -.0004221   .0000946    -4.46   0.000    -.0006074   -.0002367
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Logl (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -8760.2055  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3404.3023  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3362.0725  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3212.8272  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3212.2212  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3212.2184  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3212.2184  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3212.2184
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.538928   .0671278   112.31   0.000      7.40736    7.670496
       dap:1 |  -.1133992   .0437202    -2.59   0.009    -.1990892   -.0277092
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Logn (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -26109.012  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -4219.992  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3555.9354  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -3436.061  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3263.3584  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3209.8911  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3204.5869  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3204.4491  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3204.4491  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3204.4491
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.591615   .0738624   102.78   0.000     7.446847    7.736382
       dap:1 |   .4540958   .0401776    11.30   0.000     .3753491    .5328424
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Ggam (intercept-only)
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -13437.724  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3997.7288  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3390.7517  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3212.4049  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3204.2185  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3203.7804  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3203.7798  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3203.7798  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3203.7798
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |   7.498609   .1117734    67.09   0.000     7.279537    7.717681
  log(sigma) |   .5119776   .0614386     8.33   0.000     .3915601    .6323951
       kappa |   -.208719   .1799765    -1.16   0.246    -.5614665    .1440284
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP2 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3198.8087  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3198.7926  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3198.7926  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3198.7926
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.437277   .0609861   -23.57   0.000    -1.556808   -1.317747
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP3 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3199.285  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3198.477  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3198.4728  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3198.4728  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3198.4728
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.434124   .0609767   -23.52   0.000    -1.553636   -1.314612
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP4 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3197.5261  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3196.9675  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3196.9662  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3196.9662  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3196.9662
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.434906   .0609937   -23.53   0.000    -1.554452   -1.315361
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP5 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3198.6064  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3196.8013  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3196.7871  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3196.7871  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3196.7871
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.435058   .0610094   -23.52   0.000    -1.554634   -1.315481
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP6 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3199.1641  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3196.6238  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3196.5869  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3196.5869  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3196.5869
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.435679   .0610365   -23.52   0.000    -1.555309    -1.31605
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP7 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3197.9499  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3195.9481  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3195.9239  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3195.9239  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3195.9239
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.436567   .0610728   -23.52   0.000    -1.556268   -1.316867
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP8 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3197.548  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3195.5786  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3195.5572  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3195.5572  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3195.5572
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.437482   .0611102   -23.52   0.000    -1.557256   -1.317709
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP9 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3198.6694  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3195.4956  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -3195.372  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3195.3718  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3195.3718
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.437826   .0611305   -23.52   0.000    -1.557639   -1.318012
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP10 (intercept-only)
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3200.7246  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3195.1166  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3194.7734  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3194.7726  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3194.7726  

Fixed effects regression model                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3194.7726
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_time:       |            
       _cons |  -1.437946   .0611407   -23.52   0.000     -1.55778   -1.318112
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display

. 
. estwrite _all using "${pathdata2}parmodels_m_jun_22_corr3_cc.sters", replace
(saving m1_exp)
(saving m1_weib)
(saving m1_gom)
(saving m1_logl)
(saving m1_logn)
(saving m1_ggam)
(saving m1_rp2)
(saving m1_rp3)
(saving m1_rp4)
(saving m1_rp5)
(saving m1_rp6)
(saving m1_rp7)
(saving m1_rp8)
(saving m1_rp9)
(saving m1_rp10)
(saving m2_exp)
(saving m2_weib)
(saving m2_gom)
(saving m2_logl)
(saving m2_logn)
(saving m2_ggam)
(saving m2_rp2)
(saving m2_rp3)
(saving m2_rp4)
(saving m2_rp5)
(saving m2_rp6)
(saving m2_rp7)
(saving m2_rp8)
(saving m2_rp9)
(saving m2_rp10)
(saving m3_exp)
(saving m3_weib)
(saving m3_gom)
(saving m3_logl)
(saving m3_logn)
(saving m3_ggam)
(saving m3_rp2)
(saving m3_rp3)
(saving m3_rp4)
(saving m3_rp5)
(saving m3_rp6)
(saving m3_rp7)
(saving m3_rp8)
(saving m3_rp9)
(saving m3_rp10)
(saving m4_exp)
(saving m4_weib)
(saving m4_gom)
(saving m4_logl)
(saving m4_logn)
(saving m4_ggam)
(saving m4_rp2)
(saving m4_rp3)
(saving m4_rp4)
(saving m4_rp5)
(saving m4_rp6)
(saving m4_rp7)
(saving m4_rp8)
(saving m4_rp9)
(saving m4_rp10)
(saving m5_exp)
(saving m5_weib)
(saving m5_gom)
(saving m5_logl)
(saving m5_logn)
(saving m5_ggam)
(saving m5_rp2)
(saving m5_rp3)
(saving m5_rp4)
(saving m5_rp5)
(saving m5_rp6)
(saving m5_rp7)
(saving m5_rp8)
(saving m5_rp9)
(saving m5_rp10)
(saving m6_exp)
(saving m6_weib)
(saving m6_gom)
(saving m6_logl)
(saving m6_logn)
(saving m6_ggam)
(saving m6_rp2)
(saving m6_rp3)
(saving m6_rp4)
(saving m6_rp5)
(saving m6_rp6)
(saving m6_rp7)
(saving m6_rp8)
(saving m6_rp9)
(saving m6_rp10)
(saving m7_exp)
(saving m7_weib)
(saving m7_gom)
(saving m7_logl)
(saving m7_logn)
(saving m7_ggam)
(saving m7_rp2)
(saving m7_rp3)
(saving m7_rp4)
(saving m7_rp5)
(saving m7_rp6)
(saving m7_rp7)
(saving m7_rp8)
(saving m7_rp9)
(saving m7_rp10)
(saving m8_exp)
(saving m8_weib)
(saving m8_gom)
(saving m8_logl)
(saving m8_logn)
(saving m8_ggam)
(saving m8_rp2)
(saving m8_rp3)
(saving m8_rp4)
(saving m8_rp5)
(saving m8_rp6)
(saving m8_rp7)
(saving m8_rp8)
(saving m8_rp9)
(saving m8_rp10)
(file E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/parmodels_m_jun_22_corr3_cc.sters saved)

. *file:///G:/Mi%20unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT%202019%20(github)/_supp_mstates/stata/1806.01615.pdf
. *rcs - restricted cubic splines on log hazard scale
. *rp - Royston-Parmar model (restricted cubic spline on log cumulative hazard scale)
. forvalues i = 1/8 {
  2.         qui count if _trans == `i' & _d == 1
  3.         // we count the amount of cases with the event in the strata
.         //we call the estimates stored, and the results...
.         estimates stat m`i'_*, n(`r(N)')
  4.         //we store in a matrix de survival
.         matrix stats_`i'_intonly=r(S)
  5. }

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m1_exp |      3,617          .  -30755.07       1   61512.14   61518.33
     m1_weib |      3,617          .  -30728.52       2   61461.04   61473.42
      m1_gom |      3,617          .   -1763417       0    3526834    3526834
     m1_logl |      3,617          .  -30221.21       2   60446.42   60458.81
     m1_logn |      3,617          .  -30221.21       2   60446.42   60458.81
     m1_ggam |      3,617          .  -30221.21       2   60446.42   60458.81
      m1_rp2 |      3,617          .  -29761.92       3   59529.84   59548.42
      m1_rp3 |      3,617          .  -28392.92       4   56793.85   56818.62
      m1_rp4 |      3,617          .  -28384.76       5   56779.53   56810.49
      m1_rp5 |      3,617          .  -28384.35       6   56780.69   56817.85
      m1_rp6 |      3,617          .  -28377.08       7   56768.17   56811.52
      m1_rp7 |      3,617          .  -28364.86       8   56745.73   56795.28
      m1_rp8 |      3,617          .   -28354.2       9    56726.4   56782.14
      m1_rp9 |      3,617          .  -28348.79      10   56717.58   56779.52
     m1_rp10 |      3,617          .  -28348.85      11    56719.7   56787.83
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m2_exp |      8,903          .   -67682.2       1   135366.4   135373.5
     m2_weib |      8,903          .  -65297.41       2   130598.8     130613
      m2_gom |      8,903          .   -4566747       0    9133493    9133493
     m2_logl |      8,903          .   -64184.6       2   128373.2   128387.4
     m2_logn |      8,903          .   -64184.6       2   128373.2   128387.4
     m2_ggam |      8,903          .  -63937.77       3   127881.5   127902.8
      m2_rp2 |      8,903          .  -63162.91       3   126331.8   126353.1
      m2_rp3 |      8,903          .  -62555.74       4   125119.5   125147.9
      m2_rp4 |      8,903          .  -62550.17       5   125110.3   125145.8
      m2_rp5 |      8,903          .  -62548.05       6   125108.1   125150.7
      m2_rp6 |      8,903          .  -62546.58       7   125107.2   125156.8
      m2_rp7 |      8,903          .  -62545.14       8   125106.3     125163
      m2_rp8 |      8,903          .  -62544.33       9   125106.7   125170.5
      m2_rp9 |      8,903          .  -62542.95      10   125105.9   125176.8
     m2_rp10 |      8,903          .  -62540.01      11     125102   125180.1
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m3_exp |      1,153          .  -10590.59       1   21183.19   21188.24
     m3_weib |      1,153          .  -10343.17       2   20690.33   20700.43
      m3_gom |      1,153          .  -10456.59       2   20917.18   20927.28
     m3_logl |      1,153          .  -10346.18       2   20696.37   20706.47
     m3_logn |      1,153          .  -10364.51       2   20733.03   20743.13
     m3_ggam |      1,153          .   -10343.1       3    20692.2   20707.35
      m3_rp2 |      1,153          .  -10343.04       3   20692.08   20707.23
      m3_rp3 |      1,153          .  -10343.04       4   20694.07   20714.27
      m3_rp4 |      1,153          .     -10343       5   20696.01   20721.26
      m3_rp5 |      1,153          .  -10340.86       6   20693.72   20724.02
      m3_rp6 |      1,153          .  -10337.19       7   20688.38   20723.73
      m3_rp7 |      1,153          .   -10332.2       8    20680.4    20720.8
      m3_rp8 |      1,153          .  -10330.39       9   20678.77   20724.22
      m3_rp9 |      1,153          .  -10327.99      10   20675.99   20726.49
     m3_rp10 |      1,153          .  -10324.68      11   20671.37   20726.92
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m4_exp |      3,049          .  -27966.25       1    55934.5   55940.53
     m4_weib |      3,049          .  -27101.66       2   54207.32   54219.36
      m4_gom |      3,049          .   -1009291       0    2018582    2018582
     m4_logl |      3,049          .  -27080.56       2   54165.11   54177.16
     m4_logn |      3,049          .  -27074.21       2   54152.42   54164.47
     m4_ggam |      3,049          .  -27068.69       3   54143.39   54161.46
      m4_rp2 |      3,049          .  -27071.64       3   54149.28   54167.35
      m4_rp3 |      3,049          .  -27070.24       4   54148.47   54172.56
      m4_rp4 |      3,049          .  -27070.09       5   54150.18   54180.29
      m4_rp5 |      3,049          .  -27067.09       6   54146.18   54182.31
      m4_rp6 |      3,049          .  -27057.64       7   54129.28   54171.44
      m4_rp7 |      3,049          .  -27050.59       8   54117.19   54165.37
      m4_rp8 |      3,049          .  -27046.93       9   54111.86   54166.06
      m4_rp9 |      3,049          .  -27045.24      10   54110.48    54170.7
     m4_rp10 |      3,049          .  -27043.91      11   54109.83   54176.08
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m5_exp |        341          .  -3128.627       1   6259.254   6263.086
     m5_weib |        341          .  -3127.031       2   6258.062   6265.726
      m5_gom |        341          .  -154980.5       0   309961.1   309961.1
     m5_logl |        341          .  -3117.611       2   6239.222   6246.886
     m5_logn |        341          .  -3107.512       2   6219.024   6226.688
     m5_ggam |        341          .  -3103.892       3   6213.785    6225.28
      m5_rp2 |        341          .  -3101.835       3   6209.671   6221.166
      m5_rp3 |        341          .  -3101.293       4   6210.586   6225.913
      m5_rp4 |        341          .  -3101.224       5   6212.447   6231.607
      m5_rp5 |        341          .  -3101.259       6   6214.518   6237.509
      m5_rp6 |        341          .  -3101.106       7   6216.213   6243.036
      m5_rp7 |        341          .  -3100.956       8   6217.912   6248.567
      m5_rp8 |        341          .  -3100.189       9   6218.378   6252.865
      m5_rp9 |        341          .  -3099.435      10    6218.87   6257.189
     m5_rp10 |        341          .  -3099.455      11   6220.909    6263.06
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m6_exp |      1,011          .  -9215.147       1   18432.29   18437.21
     m6_weib |      1,011          .  -9192.401       2    18388.8   18398.64
      m6_gom |      1,011          .  -9135.688       2   18275.38   18285.21
     m6_logl |      1,011          .  -9160.661       2   18325.32   18335.16
     m6_logn |      1,011          .  -9131.775       2   18267.55   18277.39
     m6_ggam |      1,011          .  -9123.813       3   18253.63   18268.38
      m6_rp2 |      1,011          .  -9102.962       3   18211.92   18226.68
      m6_rp3 |      1,011          .  -9097.198       4    18202.4   18222.07
      m6_rp4 |      1,011          .  -9092.035       5   18194.07   18218.66
      m6_rp5 |      1,011          .  -9092.393       6   18196.79    18226.3
      m6_rp6 |      1,011          .  -9091.935       7   18197.87    18232.3
      m6_rp7 |      1,011          .  -9091.856       8   18199.71   18239.06
      m6_rp8 |      1,011          .  -9091.563       9   18201.13   18245.39
      m6_rp9 |      1,011          .  -9091.339      10   18202.68   18251.87
     m6_rp10 |      1,011          .   -9091.14      11   18204.28   18258.39
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m7_exp |         98          .  -888.7004       1   1779.401   1781.986
     m7_weib |         98          .  -887.8534       2   1779.707   1784.877
      m7_gom |         98          .  -45547.49       0   91094.98   91094.98
     m7_logl |         98          .  -884.2599       2    1772.52    1777.69
     m7_logn |         98          .  -880.5193       2   1765.039   1770.209
     m7_ggam |         98          .  -877.7051       3    1761.41   1769.165
      m7_rp2 |         98          .  -878.5869       3   1763.174   1770.929
      m7_rp3 |         98          .  -878.1922       4   1764.384   1774.724
      m7_rp4 |         98          .  -874.9456       5   1759.891   1772.816
      m7_rp5 |         98          .   -874.519       6   1761.038   1776.548
      m7_rp6 |         98          .  -874.3938       7   1762.788   1780.882
      m7_rp7 |         98          .  -874.1166       8   1764.233   1784.913
      m7_rp8 |         98          .  -872.8599       9    1763.72   1786.984
      m7_rp9 |         98          .   -871.367      10   1762.734   1788.584
     m7_rp10 |         98          .  -871.0543      11   1764.109   1792.543
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
       Model |          N   ll(null)  ll(model)      df        AIC        BIC
-------------+---------------------------------------------------------------
      m8_exp |        362          .  -3224.856       1   6451.712   6455.604
     m8_weib |        362          .  -3223.958       2   6451.916     6459.7
      m8_gom |        362          .  -3213.903       2   6431.806    6439.59
     m8_logl |        362          .  -3212.218       2   6428.437    6436.22
     m8_logn |        362          .  -3204.449       2   6412.898   6420.681
     m8_ggam |        362          .   -3203.78       3    6413.56   6425.235
      m8_rp2 |        362          .  -3198.793       3   6403.585    6415.26
      m8_rp3 |        362          .  -3198.473       4   6404.946   6420.512
      m8_rp4 |        362          .  -3196.966       5   6403.932   6423.391
      m8_rp5 |        362          .  -3196.787       6   6405.574   6428.924
      m8_rp6 |        362          .  -3196.587       7   6407.174   6434.415
      m8_rp7 |        362          .  -3195.924       8   6407.848   6438.981
      m8_rp8 |        362          .  -3195.557       9   6409.114   6444.139
      m8_rp9 |        362          .  -3195.372      10   6410.744    6449.66
     m8_rp10 |        362          .  -3194.773      11   6411.545   6454.353
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. estimates clear

. 
. ** to order AICs
. *https://www.statalist.org/forums/forum/general-stata-discussion/general/1665263-sorting-matrix-including-rownames
. mata :
------------------------------------------------- mata (type end to exit) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 
: void st_sort_matrix(
> //argumento de la matriz
>     string scalar matname, 
> //argumento de las columnas
>     real   rowvector columns
>     )
> {
>     string matrix   rownames
>     real  colvector sort_order
> // defino una base      
>         Y = st_matrix(matname)
>         //[.,(1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 5)]
>  //ordeno las columnas  
>     rownames = st_matrixrowstripe(matname) //[.,(1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 5)]
>     sort_order = order(st_matrix(matname),  (columns))
>     st_replacematrix(matname, st_matrix(matname)[sort_order,.])
>     st_matrixrowstripe(matname, rownames[sort_order,.])
> }
note: variable Y set but not used

: 
: end
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. //mata: mata drop st_sort_matrix()
. 
. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_1_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_2_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_3_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_4_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_5_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_6_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_7_intonly", 5)

. mata : st_sort_matrix("stats_8_intonly", 5)

. 
. matrix comb_intonly = (stats_1_intonly \ stats_2_intonly \ stats_3_intonly \ stats_4_intonly \ stats_5_intonly \ stats_6_intonly \ stats_7_intonly \ stats_8_intonly)

. esttab matrix(comb_intonly) using "${pathdata2}testreg_aic_jun_22_corr3_cc.csv", replace
file E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/testreg_aic_jun_22_corr3_cc.csv is read-only; cannot be modified or erased
r(608);

. esttab matrix(comb_intonly) using "${pathdata2}testreg_aic_jun_22_corr3_cc.html", replace
(output written to E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/testreg_aic_jun_22_corr3_cc.html)

. 
. 

comb_intonly
N ll0 ll df AIC BIC

m1_rp9 3617 . -28348.79 10 56717.58 56779.52
m1_rp10 3617 . -28348.85 11 56719.7 56787.83
m1_rp8 3617 . -28354.2 9 56726.4 56782.14
m1_rp7 3617 . -28364.86 8 56745.73 56795.28
m1_rp6 3617 . -28377.08 7 56768.17 56811.52
m1_rp4 3617 . -28384.76 5 56779.53 56810.49
m1_rp5 3617 . -28384.35 6 56780.69 56817.85
m1_rp3 3617 . -28392.92 4 56793.85 56818.62
m1_rp2 3617 . -29761.92 3 59529.84 59548.42
m1_ggam 3617 . -30221.21 2 60446.42 60458.81
m1_logl 3617 . -30221.21 2 60446.42 60458.81
m1_logn 3617 . -30221.21 2 60446.42 60458.81
m1_weib 3617 . -30728.52 2 61461.04 61473.42
m1_exp 3617 . -30755.07 1 61512.14 61518.33
m1_gom 3617 . -1763417 0 3526834 3526834
m2_rp10 8903 . -62540.01 11 125102 125180.1
m2_rp9 8903 . -62542.95 10 125105.9 125176.8
m2_rp7 8903 . -62545.14 8 125106.3 125163
m2_rp8 8903 . -62544.33 9 125106.7 125170.5
m2_rp6 8903 . -62546.58 7 125107.2 125156.8
m2_rp5 8903 . -62548.05 6 125108.1 125150.7
m2_rp4 8903 . -62550.17 5 125110.3 125145.8
m2_rp3 8903 . -62555.74 4 125119.5 125147.9
m2_rp2 8903 . -63162.91 3 126331.8 126353.1
m2_ggam 8903 . -63937.77 3 127881.5 127902.8
m2_logl 8903 . -64184.6 2 128373.2 128387.4
m2_logn 8903 . -64184.6 2 128373.2 128387.4
m2_weib 8903 . -65297.41 2 130598.8 130613
m2_exp 8903 . -67682.2 1 135366.4 135373.5
m2_gom 8903 . -4566747 0 9133493 9133493
m3_rp10 1153 . -10324.68 11 20671.37 20726.92
m3_rp9 1153 . -10327.99 10 20675.99 20726.49
m3_rp8 1153 . -10330.39 9 20678.77 20724.22
m3_rp7 1153 . -10332.2 8 20680.4 20720.8
m3_rp6 1153 . -10337.19 7 20688.38 20723.73
m3_weib 1153 . -10343.17 2 20690.33 20700.43
m3_rp2 1153 . -10343.04 3 20692.08 20707.23
m3_ggam 1153 . -10343.1 3 20692.2 20707.35
m3_rp5 1153 . -10340.86 6 20693.72 20724.02
m3_rp3 1153 . -10343.04 4 20694.07 20714.27
m3_rp4 1153 . -10343 5 20696.01 20721.26
m3_logl 1153 . -10346.18 2 20696.37 20706.47
m3_logn 1153 . -10364.51 2 20733.03 20743.13
m3_gom 1153 . -10456.59 2 20917.18 20927.28
m3_exp 1153 . -10590.59 1 21183.19 21188.24
m4_rp10 3049 . -27043.91 11 54109.83 54176.08
m4_rp9 3049 . -27045.24 10 54110.48 54170.7
m4_rp8 3049 . -27046.93 9 54111.86 54166.06
m4_rp7 3049 . -27050.59 8 54117.19 54165.37
m4_rp6 3049 . -27057.64 7 54129.28 54171.44
m4_ggam 3049 . -27068.69 3 54143.39 54161.46
m4_rp5 3049 . -27067.09 6 54146.18 54182.31
m4_rp3 3049 . -27070.24 4 54148.47 54172.56
m4_rp2 3049 . -27071.64 3 54149.28 54167.35
m4_rp4 3049 . -27070.09 5 54150.18 54180.29
m4_logn 3049 . -27074.21 2 54152.42 54164.47
m4_logl 3049 . -27080.56 2 54165.11 54177.16
m4_weib 3049 . -27101.66 2 54207.32 54219.36
m4_exp 3049 . -27966.25 1 55934.5 55940.53
m4_gom 3049 . -1009291 0 2018582 2018582
m5_rp2 341 . -3101.835 3 6209.671 6221.166
m5_rp3 341 . -3101.293 4 6210.586 6225.913
m5_rp4 341 . -3101.224 5 6212.447 6231.607
m5_ggam 341 . -3103.892 3 6213.785 6225.28
m5_rp5 341 . -3101.259 6 6214.518 6237.509
m5_rp6 341 . -3101.106 7 6216.213 6243.036
m5_rp7 341 . -3100.956 8 6217.912 6248.567
m5_rp8 341 . -3100.189 9 6218.378 6252.865
m5_rp9 341 . -3099.435 10 6218.87 6257.189
m5_logn 341 . -3107.512 2 6219.024 6226.688
m5_rp10 341 . -3099.455 11 6220.909 6263.06
m5_logl 341 . -3117.611 2 6239.222 6246.886
m5_weib 341 . -3127.031 2 6258.062 6265.726
m5_exp 341 . -3128.627 1 6259.254 6263.086
m5_gom 341 . -154980.5 0 309961.1 309961.1
m6_rp4 1011 . -9092.035 5 18194.07 18218.66
m6_rp5 1011 . -9092.393 6 18196.79 18226.3
m6_rp6 1011 . -9091.935 7 18197.87 18232.3
m6_rp7 1011 . -9091.856 8 18199.71 18239.06
m6_rp8 1011 . -9091.563 9 18201.13 18245.39
m6_rp3 1011 . -9097.198 4 18202.4 18222.07
m6_rp9 1011 . -9091.339 10 18202.68 18251.87
m6_rp10 1011 . -9091.14 11 18204.28 18258.39
m6_rp2 1011 . -9102.962 3 18211.92 18226.68
m6_ggam 1011 . -9123.813 3 18253.63 18268.38
m6_logn 1011 . -9131.775 2 18267.55 18277.39
m6_gom 1011 . -9135.688 2 18275.38 18285.21
m6_logl 1011 . -9160.661 2 18325.32 18335.16
m6_weib 1011 . -9192.401 2 18388.8 18398.64
m6_exp 1011 . -9215.147 1 18432.29 18437.21
m7_rp4 98 . -874.9456 5 1759.891 1772.816
m7_rp5 98 . -874.519 6 1761.038 1776.548
m7_ggam 98 . -877.7051 3 1761.41 1769.165
m7_rp9 98 . -871.367 10 1762.734 1788.584
m7_rp6 98 . -874.3938 7 1762.788 1780.882
m7_rp2 98 . -878.5869 3 1763.174 1770.929
m7_rp8 98 . -872.8599 9 1763.72 1786.984
m7_rp10 98 . -871.0543 11 1764.109 1792.543
m7_rp7 98 . -874.1166 8 1764.233 1784.913
m7_rp3 98 . -878.1922 4 1764.384 1774.724
m7_logn 98 . -880.5193 2 1765.039 1770.209
m7_logl 98 . -884.2599 2 1772.52 1777.69
m7_exp 98 . -888.7004 1 1779.401 1781.986
m7_weib 98 . -887.8534 2 1779.707 1784.877
m7_gom 98 . -45547.49 0 91094.98 91094.98
m8_rp2 362 . -3198.793 3 6403.585 6415.26
m8_rp4 362 . -3196.966 5 6403.932 6423.391
m8_rp3 362 . -3198.473 4 6404.946 6420.512
m8_rp5 362 . -3196.787 6 6405.574 6428.924
m8_rp6 362 . -3196.587 7 6407.174 6434.415
m8_rp7 362 . -3195.924 8 6407.848 6438.981
m8_rp8 362 . -3195.557 9 6409.114 6444.139
m8_rp9 362 . -3195.372 10 6410.744 6449.66
m8_rp10 362 . -3194.773 11 6411.545 6454.353
m8_logn 362 . -3204.449 2 6412.898 6420.681
m8_ggam 362 . -3203.78 3 6413.56 6425.235
m8_logl 362 . -3212.218 2 6428.437 6436.22
m8_gom 362 . -3213.903 2 6431.806 6439.59
m8_exp 362 . -3224.856 1 6451.712 6455.604
m8_weib 362 . -3223.958 2 6451.916 6459.7

In case of the more flexible parametric models (non-standard), we selected the models that showed the best trade-off between lower complexity and better fit, and this is why we also considered the BIC. If a model with less parameters had greater or equal AIC (or differences lower than 2) but also had better BIC (<=2), we favoured the model with less parameters.

With covariates

Posteriorly, we compared models by adding the setting at baseline, with the outcome of previous treatments (lagged treatment completion, in 0/1 format) as users pass through each transition. Equally, we added the time of arrival as a covariate to each transition (excluding the first). We saved the estimates in `parmodels_m2_jun_22_corr3_cc’.

. set graphics off

. 
. global sim 1e5 //5e1 1e5 

. global boots 1e3 //5e1 2e3 

. 
. set graphics on

. foreach num of numlist 1/8 {
  2. gen td_`num'=TD_`num'
  3. replace td_`num'=0 if _from>`num'|_from<`num'   
  4. }
TD_1 not found
r(111);

. * similares a los TD.1 en stata que son transition specific covariates. 
. local stname `" "tipo_de_plan_res_1 " "tipo_de_plan_res_1 " "tipo_de_plan_res_1 _start" "tipo_de_plan_res_1 _start" "tipo_de_plan_res_1 _start" "tipo_de_plan_res_1 _start" "tipo_de_plan_res_1 _start" "tipo_d
> e_plan_res_1 _start" "' 

. forvalues i = 1/8 {
  2.         gettoken covs stname : stname 
  3.         // Cox w/tvc
.         forvalues j=1/7 {
  4.                 di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
  5.                 di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Cox tvc `j'}"
  6.                 di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
  7.                 set seed 2125
  8.                 qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(exponential) tvc(tipo_de_plan_res_1) dftvc(`j')
  9.                 estimates store m2_`i'_cox`j'   
 10.         }
 11.         // Exponential
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 12.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Exp}"
 13.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 14.         set seed 2125
 15.         qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(exponential)
 16.         estimates store m2_`i'_exp
 17. 
.         // Weibull
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 18.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Wei}"
 19.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 20.         set seed 2125
 21.         qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(weibull)
 22.         //qui cap noi merlin (_time `covs' if _trans == `i', family(weibull, fail(_status)))
.         estimates store m2_`i'_weib
 23. 
.         // Gompertz
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 24.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Gomp}"
 25.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 26.         set seed 2125
 27.         qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(gompertz)
 28.         //qui cap noi merlin (_time `covs' if _trans == `i', family(gompertz, fail(_status)))
.         estimates store m2_`i'_gom
 29. 
.         // Log logistic
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 30.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Logl}"
 31.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 32.         set seed 2125
 33.         qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(loglogistic)
 34.         //qui cap noi merlin (_time `covs' if _trans == `i', family(loglogistic, fail(_status)))
.         estimates store m2_`i'_logl
 35. 
.         // Log normal
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 36.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Logn}"
 37.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 38.         set seed 2125
 39.         qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(lognormal)
 40.         //qui cap noi merlin (_time `covs' if _trans == `i', family(lognormal, fail(_status)))
.         estimates store m2_`i'_logn
 41. 
.         // Generalised gamma
.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 42.         di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family Ggam}"
 43.         di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 44.         set seed 2125
 45.         qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans==`i', dist(ggamma)
 46.         //qui cap noi merlin (_time `covs' if _trans == `i', family(ggamma, fail(_status)))
.         estimates store m2_`i'_ggam
 47. 
.         // Royston Parmar models
.         forvalues j=1/10 {
 48.                 di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 49.                 di in yellow "{bf: Transition `i': family RP`j'}"
 50.                 di in yellow "{bf: ***********}"
 51.                 set seed 2125
 52.                 qui cap noi stmerlin `covs' if _trans == `i', dist(rp) df(`j')
 53.                 //qui cap noi merlin (_time `covs' if _trans == `i', family(rp, df(`j') fail(_status)))
.                 estimates store m2_`i'_rp`j'
 54.                 *estimates save "${pathdata2}parmodels.ster", append    
.         }       
 55. }
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -33003.534  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -31106.264  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30647.735  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30634.933  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30634.874  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -30634.874  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30634.874
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4116729   .0343364    11.99   0.000     .3443747     .478971
tipo_de_pl~) |  -.2142722   .0174365   -12.29   0.000    -.2484471   -.1800973
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -33000.047  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -31386.603  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30208.284  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30191.612  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -30191.55  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =  -30191.55  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =  -30191.55
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3597396   .0368933     9.75   0.000     .2874301    .4320491
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1460968   .0376633     3.88   0.000     .0722782    .2199155
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.023057   .0448906    22.79   0.000      .935073    1.111041
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -32994.476  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29881.997  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29351.275  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29205.501  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =     -29197  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =  -29196.93  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood =  -29196.93  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =  -29196.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3834121   .0534836    -7.17   0.000    -.4882381   -.2785862
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.198071   .0619772   -19.33   0.000    -1.319544   -1.076598
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.594746   .0624554    25.53   0.000     1.472335    1.717156
tipo_de_pl~3 |   1.770486   .0536484    33.00   0.000     1.665337    1.875635
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -32987.857  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30610.186  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30477.962  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29192.509  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -29176.747  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -29176.393  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -29176.392  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -29176.392
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2584116   .0555735    -4.65   0.000    -.3673336   -.1494895
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8485076   .0812892   -10.44   0.000    -1.007831   -.6891838
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.295898   .0735461    17.62   0.000     1.151751    1.440046
tipo_de_pl~3 |   1.575306   .0626995    25.12   0.000     1.452418    1.698195
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0184169   .0294202    -0.63   0.531    -.0760793    .0392456
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -32986.724  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30556.179  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29524.387  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29225.711  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -29174.801  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -29171.626  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -29171.601  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -29171.601  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -29171.601
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2932821   .0630135    -4.65   0.000    -.4167862   -.1697779
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8771286   .0937663    -9.35   0.000    -1.060907     -.69335
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.336821   .0897281    14.90   0.000     1.160957    1.512685
tipo_de_pl~3 |   1.640115   .0773461    21.20   0.000     1.488519     1.79171
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .0907922   .0354682     2.56   0.010     .0212759    .1603085
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .0215576   .0239137     0.90   0.367    -.0253124    .0684275
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -32986.628  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30814.977  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29614.994  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29235.223  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -29166.64  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -29158.877  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -29158.708  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -29158.708  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -29158.708
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2346198   .0619078    -3.79   0.000    -.3559569   -.1132828
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.7154656   .0936638    -7.64   0.000    -.8990433   -.5318879
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.214307   .0867104    14.00   0.000     1.044358    1.384256
tipo_de_pl~3 |    1.54694   .0756365    20.45   0.000     1.398695    1.695184
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .0793445   .0389019     2.04   0.041     .0030981     .155591
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .0262033   .0254566     1.03   0.303    -.0236907    .0760974
tipo_de_pl~6 |  -.0728143    .020286    -3.59   0.000    -.1125741   -.0330544
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -32986.653  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30983.395  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29648.719  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29240.263  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -29165.87  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -29156.916  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -29156.673  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -29156.672  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -29156.672
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2740525   .0671112    -4.08   0.000     -.405588   -.1425171
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.7683443   .1045814    -7.35   0.000    -.9733201   -.5633684
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.274762   .0977559    13.04   0.000     1.083164     1.46636
tipo_de_pl~3 |   1.618388   .0853879    18.95   0.000     1.451031    1.785745
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .1548606   .0439065     3.53   0.000     .0688054    .2409158
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .0795463   .0295871     2.69   0.007     .0215567    .1375359
tipo_de_pl~6 |  -.0528621   .0225412    -2.35   0.019    -.0970421   -.0086822
tipo_de_pl~7 |  -.0010337   .0203795    -0.05   0.960    -.0409768    .0389094
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -33004.388  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30785.401  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -30705.35  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30705.292  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30705.292  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30705.292
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3372373   .0341598     9.87   0.000     .2702854    .4041893
       _cons |  -7.696332    .026774  -287.46   0.000    -7.748808   -7.643856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =   -33004.3  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -31003.362  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30770.136  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30684.135  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30674.333  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -30674.302  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -30674.302  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30674.302
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .352407   .0342141    10.30   0.000     .2853485    .4194655
       _cons |  -7.140115    .073784   -96.77   0.000    -7.284729   -6.995501
  log(gamma) |  -.0873838   .0113862    -7.67   0.000    -.1097003   -.0650672
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.97e+181  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1731930.4  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -1454821.6  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -1402655.4  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =   -1398019  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -1385165.5  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =  -328786.2  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -302483.55  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -264189.88  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -255268.77  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood =  -222526.4  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -220429.34  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -219103.58  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -173332.36  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -137414.85  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -59280.532  
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -54966.211  
Iteration 17:  log likelihood =  -30753.78  
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -30358.358  
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -30079.146  
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -30076.717  
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -30076.716  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30076.716
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4031699   .0341951    11.79   0.000     .3361486    .4701911
       _cons |  -7.189116    .029405  -244.49   0.000    -7.246748   -7.131483
       gamma |  -.0010984   .0000385   -28.52   0.000    -.0011739   -.0010229
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -101538.84  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -40732.326  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30165.396  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30141.169  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30140.589  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30140.588  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30140.588
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4294671    .034281   -12.53   0.000    -.4966566   -.3622776
       _cons |   7.132928   .0292421   243.93   0.000     7.075615    7.190242
       dap:1 |  -.2372802   .0125094   -18.97   0.000    -.2617982   -.2127622
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

initial values not feasible

-> Starting values failed - trying zero vector

initial values not feasible
 ***********
 Transition 1: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -135492.84  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -35955.592  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -33000.605  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -31936.775  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30788.128  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -30381.717  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -30376.103  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood =  -30343.65  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -30242.436  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -30202.499  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -30191.591  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -30189.799  
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -30189.247  
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -30189.136  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -30189.083  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -30189.077  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -30189.076  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -30189.075  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -30189.075  (backed up)
could not calculate numerical derivatives -- discontinuous region with missing values encountered
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -44819.836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -30961.774  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30677.253  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30674.304  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -30674.302  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -30674.302
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3524056   .0342141    10.30   0.000     .2853471     .419464
       _cons |  -2.355736   .0303436   -77.64   0.000    -2.415209   -2.296264
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -30026.44  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29719.049  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29700.912  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29700.865  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -29700.865  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -29700.865
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3734678    .034186    10.92   0.000     .3064645    .4404712
       _cons |  -3.296016   .0448209   -73.54   0.000    -3.383863   -3.208168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -30018.676  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -29041.16  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -28790.216  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -28632.387  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28332.506  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28332.349  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28332.349  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28332.349
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3718085   .0341683    10.88   0.000       .30484    .4387771
       _cons |  -2.889711   .0364855   -79.20   0.000    -2.961221     -2.8182
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -29943.39  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29379.307  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29005.342  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -28889.884  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28709.023  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28334.114  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28324.713  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28324.605  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood =   -28324.6  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood =   -28324.6  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =   -28324.6
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3705586   .0341689    10.84   0.000     .3035888    .4375284
       _cons |  -2.951287   .0398489   -74.06   0.000    -3.029389   -2.873184
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29888.231  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29337.497  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29155.847  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29014.532  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28800.636  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28338.011  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28324.235  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28324.202  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28324.202  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28324.202
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3705002   .0341688    10.84   0.000     .3035306    .4374697
       _cons |   -2.95701   .0406148   -72.81   0.000    -3.036613   -2.877406
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29870.611  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29328.741  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29158.151  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -28905.501  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28331.085  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28317.189  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28316.792  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28316.738  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28316.737  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28316.737
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3711186   .0341688    10.86   0.000     .3041489    .4380883
       _cons |  -2.967361   .0413954   -71.68   0.000    -3.048495   -2.886228
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29856.545  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29323.493  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29162.287  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -28905.598  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28318.945  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28306.464  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28305.452  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28304.708  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28304.386  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28304.342  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -28304.342  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28304.342
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3716596   .0341692    10.88   0.000     .3046891      .43863
       _cons |  -2.940991   .0412323   -71.33   0.000    -3.021805   -2.860177
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29844.511  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29560.701  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -29336.98  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29165.751  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28905.417  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28308.197  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28294.006  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28293.843  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28293.837  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28293.837  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28293.837
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3711807   .0341696    10.86   0.000     .3042095    .4381519
       _cons |  -2.925411   .0410255   -71.31   0.000     -3.00582   -2.845003
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29834.752  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29553.449  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29334.792  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -29168.491  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -28707.207  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28299.058  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28289.242  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -28288.588  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -28288.465  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -28288.462  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -28288.462  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -28288.462
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3710783   .0341697    10.86   0.000     .3041069    .4380496
       _cons |  -2.919178   .0409504   -71.29   0.000    -2.999439   -2.838917
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 1: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -31613.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -29827.37  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -29548.753  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -29335.396  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -29029.79  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -28308.79  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -28288.705  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -28288.542  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood =  -28288.54  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood =  -28288.54  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =  -28288.54
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .3710231   .0341698    10.86   0.000     .3040514    .4379948
       _cons |  -2.915667   .0409194   -71.25   0.000    -2.995868   -2.835467
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -79789.89  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -68971.259  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65999.003  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -65927.785  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -65927.047  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -65927.047  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -65927.047
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3398249   .0222812   -15.25   0.000    -.3834953   -.2961545
tipo_de_pl~) |    -.65678    .010302   -63.75   0.000    -.6769716   -.6365885
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79789.435  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -68562.097  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65357.152  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -65207.41  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -65201.833  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -65201.818  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -65201.818  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -65201.818
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4329334   .0250097   -17.31   0.000    -.4819515   -.3839153
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.076345   .0204313   -52.68   0.000     -1.11639     -1.0363
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .5904151   .0196876    29.99   0.000     .5518281    .6290021
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79788.371  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -68515.804  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65084.982  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64984.656  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -64979.543  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -64979.523  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -64979.523  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64979.523
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6089504   .0316047   -19.27   0.000    -.6708944   -.5470063
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.515104   .0391806   -38.67   0.000    -1.591897   -1.438311
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .9554706   .0320243    29.84   0.000     .8927041    1.018237
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .4865379   .0237477    20.49   0.000     .4399933    .5330825
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79786.093  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =   -68345.2  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65132.189  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64986.893  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -64973.569  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -64973.423  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -64973.423  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64973.423
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6523539   .0357696   -18.24   0.000     -.722461   -.5822468
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.596938   .0491211   -32.51   0.000    -1.693214   -1.500663
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.018119   .0409858    24.84   0.000     .9377882     1.09845
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .5741031   .0334275    17.17   0.000     .5085864    .6396198
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .1391972   .0221479     6.28   0.000      .095788    .1826064
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79785.977  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -68313.986  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65132.453  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64986.491  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -64968.263  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -64967.862  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -64967.862  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64967.862
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6923929   .0395475   -17.51   0.000    -.7699045   -.6148813
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.678598   .0583494   -28.77   0.000    -1.792961   -1.564236
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.079272   .0485748    22.22   0.000     .9840675    1.174477
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .6365182   .0387809    16.41   0.000     .5605091    .7125274
tipo_de_pl~4 |    .230758   .0275489     8.38   0.000     .1767631    .2847529
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .1022635   .0215325     4.75   0.000     .0600606    .1444665
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79785.935  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -68308.583  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65134.534  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64986.919  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -64964.482  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -64963.899  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -64963.898  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64963.898
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.7266213   .0431268   -16.85   0.000    -.8111484   -.6420942
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.744467   .0663002   -26.31   0.000    -1.874413   -1.614521
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.130253   .0552039    20.47   0.000     1.022056    1.238451
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .6858154   .0439964    15.59   0.000      .599584    .7720468
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .2871617   .0305591     9.40   0.000      .227267    .3470565
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .1458864   .0244492     5.97   0.000     .0979669    .1938059
tipo_de_pl~6 |   .0971772   .0217093     4.48   0.000     .0546276    .1397267
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 2: _cmp_1_2_1 to _cmp_1_2_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79785.855  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -68297.092  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65130.441  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64987.807  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -64963.517  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -64962.647  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -64962.644  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64962.644
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.7443284   .0459518   -16.20   0.000    -.8343923   -.6542646
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.778451   .0726191   -24.49   0.000    -1.920782    -1.63612
tipo_de_pl~2 |   1.149273   .0601034    19.12   0.000     1.031472    1.267073
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .7104345   .0476941    14.90   0.000     .6169557    .8039133
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .3275596   .0338186     9.69   0.000     .2612764    .3938428
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .1673895   .0261715     6.40   0.000     .1160944    .2186847
tipo_de_pl~6 |   .1285362   .0234882     5.47   0.000     .0825002    .1745723
tipo_de_pl~7 |   .0726893    .022295     3.26   0.001     .0289919    .1163867
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79832.221  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -67793.136  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -67565.958  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -67559.45  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -67559.445  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -67559.445
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3327356   .0213072   -15.62   0.000    -.3744971   -.2909742
       _cons |  -6.438972   .0142784  -450.96   0.000    -6.466957   -6.410986
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -6558828  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -79812.674  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -71351.04  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -67766.509  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -65526.833  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -65229.179  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -65223.157  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -65223.142  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -65223.142  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -65223.142
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2591495   .0213282   -12.15   0.000    -.3009519    -.217347
       _cons |  -3.912319   .0346113  -113.04   0.000    -3.980156   -3.844482
  log(gamma) |  -.4995195   .0084652   -59.01   0.000    -.5161111   -.4829279
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.97e+181  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -4433163.6  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -4078510.5  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3556461.2  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3415086.2  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3380767.3  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3364070.2  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3328472.5  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3311363.8  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3275827.3  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -3257734.6  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -3216724.7  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -3199722.8  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -3167486.5  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -3148627.5  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -3052216.6  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -3027275.3  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -2940684.4  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -2870233.2  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -2792948.1  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -2760279.2  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -2720273.4  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -2706325.9  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -2669130.9  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -1362099.2  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood = -926227.48  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -889178.38  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -661548.72  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -530067.21  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -472230.07  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood = -361462.11  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -134390.24  
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -68783.599  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -63517.546  
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -62907.073  
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -62806.268  
Iteration 36:  log likelihood = -62806.159  
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -62806.159  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62806.159
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2147451   .0213186   -10.07   0.000    -.2565287   -.1729615
       _cons |  -5.419244   .0169145  -320.39   0.000    -5.452395   -5.386092
       gamma |  -.0036078   .0000628   -57.44   0.000    -.0037309   -.0034847
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -122115.27  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -68662.976  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -66719.595  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -64215.07  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =     -64157  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -64156.586  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -64156.586  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -64156.586
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2463024    .032933     7.48   0.000     .1817549    .3108499
       _cons |    5.65441   .0225077   251.22   0.000     5.610295    5.698524
       dap:1 |   .1072648   .0090423    11.86   0.000     .0895422    .1249874
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

initial values not feasible

-> Starting values failed - trying zero vector

initial values not feasible
 ***********
 Transition 2: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -153679.94  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -68235.27  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -65647.317  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -64592.95  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -64025.429  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -63931.164  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -63930.882  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -63930.882  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -63930.882
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1393999    .037557    -3.71   0.000    -.2130103   -.0657894
       _cons |   5.443794   .0302367   180.04   0.000     5.384531    5.503056
  log(sigma) |   .7246473   .0081088    89.37   0.000     .7087544    .7405403
       kappa |  -.6517369   .0318932   -20.44   0.000    -.7142463   -.5892274
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -72141.478  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -65351.661  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -65224.469  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -65223.142  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -65223.142  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -65223.142
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2591495   .0213282   -12.15   0.000    -.3009519    -.217347
       _cons |  -.7439399   .0150345   -49.48   0.000     -.773407   -.7144727
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -63781.955  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -63121.865  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -63113.847  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -63113.843  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -63113.843
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2107203   .0213272    -9.88   0.000    -.2525208   -.1689198
       _cons |  -.8433824   .0152904   -55.16   0.000    -.8733509   -.8134138
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -63058.93  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62640.541  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62539.966  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62503.116  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62502.566  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62502.551  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -62502.551  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62502.551
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2192836   .0213189   -10.29   0.000     -.261068   -.1774993
       _cons |  -.8065043   .0152103   -53.02   0.000     -.836316   -.7766926
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62939.038  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62620.182  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62497.994  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62496.756  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62496.746  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62496.745  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62496.745
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2197899   .0213213   -10.31   0.000    -.2615789   -.1780009
       _cons |  -.8055358   .0152135   -52.95   0.000    -.8353537   -.7757179
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62894.562  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62731.184  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62570.473  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62494.831  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -62494.63  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood =  -62494.63  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood =  -62494.63
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2197884   .0213214   -10.31   0.000    -.2615776   -.1779993
       _cons |  -.8052804   .0152127   -52.93   0.000    -.8350967   -.7754642
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62871.616  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62724.479  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62570.161  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62493.383  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62493.179  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62493.179  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62493.179
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2197479   .0213214   -10.31   0.000    -.2615371   -.1779588
       _cons |  -.8051978   .0152126   -52.93   0.000    -.8350138   -.7753817
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62856.969  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62621.579  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62492.792  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62491.779  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62491.769  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62491.769  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62491.769
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2196785   .0213214   -10.30   0.000    -.2614677   -.1778893
       _cons |   -.805138   .0152123   -52.93   0.000    -.8349535   -.7753225
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62853.816  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62500.973  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62491.012  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62490.982  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62490.982  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62490.982
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2196449   .0213215   -10.30   0.000    -.2614341   -.1778556
       _cons |  -.8051211   .0152123   -52.93   0.000    -.8349367   -.7753056
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -64031.168  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -63179.542  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62826.959  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62681.879  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62545.772  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62490.023  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -62489.621  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -62489.621  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62489.621
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2196062   .0213214   -10.30   0.000    -.2613955   -.1778169
       _cons |  -.8051233   .0152125   -52.93   0.000    -.8349393   -.7753074
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 2: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -65997.548  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -64023.678  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -63167.903  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62820.991  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62679.835  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -62543.207  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -62487.122  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -62486.705  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -62486.705  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =     15,494
Log likelihood = -62486.705
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2195466   .0213214   -10.30   0.000    -.2613358   -.1777573
       _cons |   -.805153   .0152129   -52.93   0.000    -.8349696   -.7753363
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10807.723  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10357.475  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10308.527  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10306.088  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10306.084  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10306.084  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10306.084
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1828987   .0701962     2.61   0.009     .0453167    .3204807
      _start |   .0004813   .0001593     3.02   0.003     .0001691    .0007936
tipo_de_pl~) |  -.7157736   .0271501   -26.36   0.000    -.7689868   -.6625605
       _cons |  -8.639127   .0846213  -102.09   0.000    -8.804982   -8.473272
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10806.507  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -10465.74  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10361.284  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -10304.67  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10304.291  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10304.291  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10304.291
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2163673   .0719628     3.01   0.003     .0753228    .3574119
      _start |   .0004927   .0001593     3.09   0.002     .0001805    .0008049
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6772024   .0333265   -20.32   0.000    -.7425212   -.6118837
tipo_de_pl~2 |  -.0537409   .0279728    -1.92   0.055    -.1085666    .0010848
       _cons |  -8.643686   .0846691  -102.09   0.000    -8.809634   -8.477737
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10806.178  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10512.145  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10352.896  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10305.262  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10303.849  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10303.847  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10303.847  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10303.847
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2024463   .0738649     2.74   0.006     .0576737    .3472188
      _start |   .0004871   .0001594     3.06   0.002     .0001747    .0007996
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6935267   .0383972   -18.06   0.000    -.7687838   -.6182696
tipo_de_pl~2 |  -.0319181   .0368504    -0.87   0.386    -.1041436    .0403073
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0288877   .0350589     0.82   0.410    -.0398265     .097602
       _cons |  -8.641456   .0846859  -102.04   0.000    -8.807438   -8.475475
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10805.989  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10724.829  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10476.853  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10325.359  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10304.847  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10303.434  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10303.429  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10303.429  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10303.429
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .213873   .0745117     2.87   0.004     .0678327    .3599132
      _start |   .0004891   .0001594     3.07   0.002     .0001766    .0008015
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6821644   .0396349   -17.21   0.000    -.7598473   -.6044814
tipo_de_pl~2 |  -.0420872   .0369707    -1.14   0.255    -.1145485     .030374
tipo_de_pl~3 |    .007478   .0395717     0.19   0.850    -.0700811    .0850371
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0300432   .0393063    -0.76   0.445    -.1070822    .0469958
       _cons |   -8.64223   .0846985  -102.04   0.000    -8.808236   -8.476224
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10805.909  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10592.376  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10319.923  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10302.886  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10302.696  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10302.696  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10302.696
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .223083   .0745985     2.99   0.003     .0768725    .3692934
      _start |   .0004914   .0001594     3.08   0.002      .000179    .0008039
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6708413   .0400709   -16.74   0.000    -.7493789   -.5923037
tipo_de_pl~2 |  -.0569728   .0373462    -1.53   0.127    -.1301699    .0162243
tipo_de_pl~3 |  -.0001331    .036923    -0.00   0.997    -.0725007    .0722346
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0358831   .0408733    -0.88   0.380    -.1159933    .0442271
tipo_de_pl~5 |   -.062266   .0423426    -1.47   0.141     -.145256     .020724
       _cons |   -8.64319   .0847123  -102.03   0.000    -8.809223   -8.477157
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10805.871  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10592.489  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10320.133  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10302.347  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10302.113  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10302.113  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10302.113
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2271304   .0746442     3.04   0.002     .0808306    .3734303
      _start |   .0004925   .0001594     3.09   0.002       .00018     .000805
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6657717   .0402724   -16.53   0.000    -.7447042   -.5868391
tipo_de_pl~2 |  -.0636502   .0370242    -1.72   0.086    -.1362162    .0089159
tipo_de_pl~3 |   -.004541   .0355811    -0.13   0.898    -.0742787    .0651966
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0219314   .0380186    -0.58   0.564    -.0964465    .0525837
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0735147   .0418998    -1.75   0.079    -.1556368    .0086074
tipo_de_pl~6 |   -.054327    .044209    -1.23   0.219    -.1409749     .032321
       _cons |  -8.643612   .0847184  -102.03   0.000    -8.809657   -8.477567
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10805.869  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10593.017  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10318.697  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10300.068  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10299.797  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10299.797  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10299.797
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2339978   .0745423     3.14   0.002     .0878975    .3800981
      _start |   .0004946   .0001595     3.10   0.002     .0001821    .0008072
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6581787   .0400727   -16.42   0.000    -.7367197   -.5796377
tipo_de_pl~2 |  -.0751587   .0365477    -2.06   0.040    -.1467908   -.0035266
tipo_de_pl~3 |  -.0083528    .034193    -0.24   0.807    -.0753699    .0586642
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0217615   .0363372    -0.60   0.549    -.0929811    .0494581
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0873272   .0389984    -2.24   0.025    -.1637627   -.0108917
tipo_de_pl~6 |  -.0490175   .0429466    -1.14   0.254    -.1331913    .0351563
tipo_de_pl~7 |  -.0937709   .0451091    -2.08   0.038    -.1821831   -.0053586
       _cons |  -8.644474   .0847332  -102.02   0.000    -8.810548     -8.4784
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10809.783  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10686.334  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10563.666  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10562.795  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10562.795  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10562.795
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4525519   .0669774     6.76   0.000     .3212787    .5838252
      _start |   .0006745   .0001575     4.28   0.000     .0003659    .0009832
       _cons |  -8.717466   .0850009  -102.56   0.000    -8.884065   -8.550867
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -4136554  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -10809.48  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10566.609  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10509.475  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -10320.22  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10313.743  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10313.403  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10313.403  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10313.403
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4873681   .0667036     7.31   0.000     .3566314    .6181047
      _start |   .0005166   .0001588     3.25   0.001     .0002053    .0008279
       _cons |   -5.68689   .1412747   -40.25   0.000    -5.963784   -5.409997
  log(gamma) |  -.5317193   .0265894   -20.00   0.000    -.5838335   -.4796051
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2.27e+148  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -521997.56  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -355085.1  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -214439.9  (backed up)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -154558.47  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -55666.138  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27366.207  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -11972.373  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10506.964  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -10427.134  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood =   -10426.3  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -10426.299  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10426.299
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4959424   .0667613     7.43   0.000     .3650927    .6267921
      _start |   .0004791   .0001593     3.01   0.003     .0001668    .0007914
       _cons |  -8.066906   .0914769   -88.19   0.000    -8.246197   -7.887614
       gamma |  -.0008249   .0000548   -15.05   0.000    -.0009324   -.0007175
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -29754.567  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -13105.378  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10876.196  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10599.646  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10384.704  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10314.218  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10313.499  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10313.497  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10313.497  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10313.497
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.9351002   .1212833    -7.71   0.000    -1.172811   -.6973894
      _start |  -.0008151   .0002977    -2.74   0.006    -.0013985   -.0002317
       _cons |   9.230571   .1626341    56.76   0.000     8.911814    9.549328
       dap:1 |   .4238486   .0260306    16.28   0.000     .3728296    .4748676
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -93798.402  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -14457.146  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -12630.738  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -12173.238  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -11048.922  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10550.556  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10479.334  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10326.765  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10323.571  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood =  -10323.57  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood =  -10323.57  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood =  -10323.57
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.164406   .1316154    -8.85   0.000    -1.422367   -.9064444
      _start |  -.0007651   .0003286    -2.33   0.020    -.0014092   -.0001209
       _cons |   9.579342   .1782066    53.75   0.000     9.230064    9.928621
       dap:1 |   1.069877   .0230918    46.33   0.000     1.024618    1.115136
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -48629.546  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -11551.28  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -10722.11  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10535.779  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10345.002  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -10312.272  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -10311.656  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -10311.654  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10311.654  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10311.654
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.9219685   .1304941    -7.07   0.000    -1.177732   -.6662047
      _start |  -.0008587   .0002896    -2.97   0.003    -.0014262   -.0002912
       _cons |   9.683242   .1646947    58.80   0.000     9.360446    10.00604
  log(sigma) |   .7246025   .0917933     7.89   0.000     .5446909    .9045141
       kappa |   .6868242    .148637     4.62   0.000     .3955011    .9781472
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -12481.069  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10324.991  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10313.469  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10313.403  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10313.403  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10313.403
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .487368   .0667036     7.31   0.000     .3566314    .6181047
      _start |   .0005166   .0001588     3.25   0.001     .0002053    .0008279
       _cons |  -1.890434   .0854494   -22.12   0.000    -2.057912   -1.722956
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10316.262  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10313.208  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10313.198  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10313.198  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10313.198
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4883668   .0667168     7.32   0.000     .3576043    .6191293
      _start |   .0005132    .000159     3.23   0.001     .0002016    .0008247
       _cons |  -1.889695   .0854447   -22.12   0.000    -2.057163   -1.722226
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10316.261  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10313.207  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10313.197  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10313.197  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10313.197
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .488427   .0667292     7.32   0.000     .3576402    .6192138
      _start |   .0005129   .0001591     3.22   0.001     .0002011    .0008247
       _cons |  -1.889639   .0854505   -22.11   0.000    -2.057119   -1.722159
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -10316.24  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10313.186  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10313.176  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10313.176  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10313.176
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4883146   .0667317     7.32   0.000     .3575229    .6191063
      _start |    .000513   .0001591     3.22   0.001     .0002011    .0008249
       _cons |  -1.889577   .0854606   -22.11   0.000    -2.057076   -1.722077
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10314.238  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10311.065  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10311.055  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10311.055  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10311.055
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4877164   .0667338     7.31   0.000     .3569206    .6185122
      _start |   .0005173   .0001592     3.25   0.001     .0002054    .0008293
       _cons |  -1.890724   .0854668   -22.12   0.000    -2.058236   -1.723212
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =   -10310.9  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10307.399  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10307.387  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10307.387  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10307.387
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4876119   .0667343     7.31   0.000     .3568152    .6184087
      _start |    .000518   .0001592     3.25   0.001      .000206      .00083
       _cons |  -1.890995   .0854705   -22.12   0.000    -2.058514   -1.723476
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10306.983  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10302.437  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10302.424  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10302.424  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10302.424
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4871375   .0667347     7.30   0.000     .3563398    .6179351
      _start |   .0005202   .0001592     3.27   0.001     .0002082    .0008322
       _cons |  -1.891589   .0854676   -22.13   0.000    -2.059103   -1.724076
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10306.175  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10300.632  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10300.609  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10300.609  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10300.609
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4872001   .0667355     7.30   0.000     .3564009    .6179994
      _start |   .0005198   .0001592     3.26   0.001     .0002077    .0008318
       _cons |  -1.891575   .0854702   -22.13   0.000    -2.059093   -1.724056
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -10305.03  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10298.273  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10298.213  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10298.213  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10298.213
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .487288   .0667346     7.30   0.000     .3564905    .6180855
      _start |   .0005189   .0001592     3.26   0.001     .0002069    .0008309
       _cons |  -1.891425   .0854674   -22.13   0.000    -2.058938   -1.723912
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 3: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -10370.011  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10302.937  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10295.021  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -10294.906  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -10294.906  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,617
Log likelihood = -10294.906
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4872845   .0667335     7.30   0.000     .3564891    .6180798
      _start |   .0005186   .0001592     3.26   0.001     .0002067    .0008306
       _cons |   -1.89137   .0854611   -22.13   0.000    -2.058871    -1.72387
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -28558.69  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27255.263  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -27155.34  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27151.372  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27151.367  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27151.367  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27151.367
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1396077   .0402813     3.47   0.001     .0606578    .2185575
      _start |    .000901   .0001223     7.37   0.000     .0006614    .0011406
tipo_de_pl~) |  -.8146789   .0183078   -44.50   0.000    -.8505616   -.7787962
       _cons |  -8.537244   .0340996  -250.36   0.000    -8.604078    -8.47041
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28556.238  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =   -27643.9  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27316.157  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27146.131  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27144.189  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27144.188  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27144.188
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0776699   .0442234     1.76   0.079    -.0090064    .1643462
      _start |   .0008946   .0001223     7.32   0.000      .000655    .0011343
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8785959   .0255239   -34.42   0.000    -.9286217     -.82857
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .0754153   .0203338     3.71   0.000     .0355618    .1152689
       _cons |  -8.536146   .0340888  -250.41   0.000    -8.602959   -8.469333
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28555.987  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27789.769  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27332.672  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27152.294  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27144.329  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27144.242  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27144.242  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27144.242
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0769167   .0472269     1.63   0.103    -.0156462    .1694797
      _start |   .0008945   .0001223     7.32   0.000     .0006549    .0011342
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8793698   .0307778   -28.57   0.000    -.9396932   -.8190464
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .0760441   .0272953     2.79   0.005     .0225462     .129542
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0058698   .0252711     0.23   0.816    -.0436606    .0554002
       _cons |  -8.536131   .0340904  -250.40   0.000    -8.602947   -8.469315
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28555.802  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28181.428  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27714.643  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27197.771  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27146.438  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27142.402  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27142.389  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -27142.389  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27142.389
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0992475   .0478672     2.07   0.038     .0054296    .1930654
      _start |   .0008968   .0001223     7.33   0.000     .0006571    .0011365
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8568458   .0319748   -26.80   0.000    -.9195152   -.7941763
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .0545608   .0280635     1.94   0.052    -.0004427    .1095642
tipo_de_pl~3 |   -.022693   .0290061    -0.78   0.434    -.0795439    .0341579
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0519789   .0278046    -1.87   0.062     -.106475    .0025172
       _cons |  -8.536525    .034095  -250.37   0.000     -8.60335     -8.4697
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28555.786  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -28434.65  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27943.391  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27228.158  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27151.254  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27138.889  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27138.721  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -27138.721  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27138.721
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1162498   .0476499     2.44   0.015     .0228577    .2096418
      _start |   .0008993   .0001223     7.35   0.000     .0006596     .001139
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8355569   .0320421   -26.08   0.000    -.8983583   -.7727555
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .0309594   .0281651     1.10   0.272    -.0242432    .0861619
tipo_de_pl~3 |  -.0366867   .0275674    -1.33   0.183    -.0907178    .0173444
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0725916   .0296427    -2.45   0.014    -.1306902   -.0144931
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0956628    .029257    -3.27   0.001    -.1530055   -.0383201
       _cons |  -8.536946   .0340996  -250.35   0.000     -8.60378   -8.470112
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28555.794  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28475.764  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -28007.962  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27234.531  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27153.562  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27136.678  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27136.205  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -27136.204  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27136.204
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1221156   .0475723     2.57   0.010     .0288756    .2153555
      _start |      .0009   .0001223     7.36   0.000     .0006604    .0011397
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8276349    .032061   -25.81   0.000    -.8904733   -.7647965
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .0227923   .0278749     0.82   0.414    -.0318415    .0774261
tipo_de_pl~3 |  -.0392777     .02661    -1.48   0.140    -.0914325     .012877
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0573274   .0279163    -2.05   0.040    -.1120424   -.0026124
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.1192952    .030052    -3.97   0.000    -.1781961   -.0603943
tipo_de_pl~6 |  -.0719882   .0307215    -2.34   0.019    -.1322013   -.0117751
       _cons |  -8.537079    .034101  -250.35   0.000    -8.603916   -8.470242
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28555.768  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28120.799  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27856.068  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27192.702  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27136.525  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27128.502  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood =  -27128.37  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood =  -27128.37  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood =  -27128.37
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1303424   .0472483     2.76   0.006     .0377374    .2229473
      _start |   .0009004   .0001223     7.36   0.000     .0006607    .0011401
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8156329   .0315815   -25.83   0.000    -.8775314   -.7537343
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .0105142   .0270878     0.39   0.698    -.0425769    .0636053
tipo_de_pl~3 |  -.0465491   .0253511    -1.84   0.066    -.0962364    .0031382
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0579713   .0265622    -2.18   0.029    -.1100323   -.0059103
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.1348571   .0275942    -4.89   0.000    -.1889408   -.0807734
tipo_de_pl~6 |    -.08836   .0304337    -2.90   0.004     -.148009    -.028711
tipo_de_pl~7 |  -.1301232   .0323786    -4.02   0.000     -.193584   -.0666623
       _cons |  -8.537143   .0341013  -250.35   0.000    -8.603981   -8.470306
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28565.422  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28415.125  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27865.161  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27858.332  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27858.307  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27858.307  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27858.307
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4744839   .0365334    12.99   0.000     .4028798    .5460881
      _start |   .0010335   .0001221     8.46   0.000     .0007941    .0012728
       _cons |   -8.56023    .034319  -249.43   0.000    -8.627494   -8.492966
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -10797650  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -28564.325  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -27869.55  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27326.375  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27014.453  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27000.297  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -27000.194  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -27000.194  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27000.194
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4760448   .0365117    13.04   0.000     .4044831    .5476065
      _start |   .0008669   .0001216     7.13   0.000     .0006286    .0011053
       _cons |   -5.22769   .0738088   -70.83   0.000    -5.372353   -5.083028
  log(gamma) |  -.6011502   .0164226   -36.61   0.000    -.6333379   -.5689625
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.91e+150  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1397219.3  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -1173664.2  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -1126717.6  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -1054607.8  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -1021038.3  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -1005488.7  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -963142.36  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -956223.47  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -817741.97  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood =  -810638.8  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -799689.72  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -578255.82  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -393213.96  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -267385.49  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -181822.13  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood =  -152750.1  
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -135681.48  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood =  -36848.49  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -30342.214  
Iteration 20:  log likelihood =  -27473.13  
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -27262.122  
Iteration 22:  log likelihood =  -27251.62  
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -27251.594  
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -27251.594  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27251.594
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4913006   .0365123    13.46   0.000     .4197379    .5628634
      _start |   .0008325   .0001215     6.85   0.000     .0005945    .0010706
       _cons |  -7.737492   .0396653  -195.07   0.000    -7.815234   -7.659749
       gamma |  -.0011001   .0000361   -30.51   0.000    -.0011707   -.0010294
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -74451.671  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -35207.251  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -28047.165  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27409.456  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27242.274  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -26967.82  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -26965.498  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -26965.494  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -26965.494  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26965.494
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.014863   .0728051   -13.94   0.000    -1.157558   -.8721676
      _start |   -.001714   .0002508    -6.84   0.000    -.0022055   -.0012225
       _cons |   9.047439   .0733332   123.37   0.000     8.903709     9.19117
       dap:1 |    .476959   .0159758    29.86   0.000     .4456471    .5082709
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -234224.24  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -58901.912  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -30783.242  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -28306.861  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -27009.54  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -26947.964  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -26946.327  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -26946.326  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26946.326
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.168827   .0775111   -15.08   0.000    -1.320746   -1.016909
      _start |  -.0017201   .0002729    -6.30   0.000    -.0022551   -.0011851
       _cons |   9.289842   .0802964   115.69   0.000     9.132464     9.44722
       dap:1 |   1.088897   .0143303    75.99   0.000      1.06081    1.116984
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -122574.49  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -29951.757  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27715.817  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27046.229  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27037.191  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -26991.775  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -26970.289  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -26968.775  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -26945.937  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -26945.235  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -26945.229  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -26945.229  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26945.229
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -1.135522   .0798306   -14.22   0.000    -1.291987   -.9790566
      _start |  -.0017192   .0002674    -6.43   0.000    -.0022433   -.0011951
       _cons |   9.346783   .0869555   107.49   0.000     9.176353    9.517213
  log(sigma) |   1.043745   .0346748    30.10   0.000     .9757833    1.111706
       kappa |    .120883   .0807503     1.50   0.134    -.0373847    .2791507
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -32106.076  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -27041.645  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -27000.444  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -27000.194  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -27000.194  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -27000.194
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4760448   .0365117    13.04   0.000     .4044831    .5476065
      _start |   .0008669   .0001216     7.13   0.000     .0006286    .0011053
       _cons |  -1.663876   .0348675   -47.72   0.000    -1.732215   -1.595537
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26986.775  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26969.964  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26969.933  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26969.933  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26969.933
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4789406   .0365118    13.12   0.000     .4073788    .5505024
      _start |   .0008474   .0001216     6.97   0.000     .0006092    .0010857
       _cons |  -1.663234   .0348248   -47.76   0.000    -1.731489   -1.594978
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26987.157  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26968.417  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26968.392  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26968.392  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26968.392
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4797635   .0365141    13.14   0.000     .4081971    .5513298
      _start |   .0008437   .0001215     6.94   0.000     .0006055    .0010819
       _cons |  -1.663021    .034821   -47.76   0.000    -1.731269   -1.594773
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26986.621  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26968.289  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26968.262  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26968.262  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26968.262
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |     .47953   .0365149    13.13   0.000      .407962     .551098
      _start |   .0008454   .0001216     6.95   0.000     .0006071    .0010836
       _cons |  -1.663255   .0348237   -47.76   0.000    -1.731508   -1.595002
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26984.351  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26965.322  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26965.295  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26965.295  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26965.295
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4791527   .0365159    13.12   0.000     .4075828    .5507225
      _start |   .0008479   .0001216     6.97   0.000     .0006096    .0010862
       _cons |  -1.663386   .0348272   -47.76   0.000    -1.731646   -1.595126
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -26974.98  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26955.921  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26955.892  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26955.892  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26955.892
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4790561   .0365159    13.12   0.000     .4074862     .550626
      _start |   .0008476   .0001216     6.97   0.000     .0006093    .0010859
       _cons |  -1.663329   .0348274   -47.76   0.000     -1.73159   -1.595069
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26969.204  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26948.884  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26948.856  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26948.856  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26948.856
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4788158   .0365164    13.11   0.000      .407245    .5503866
      _start |   .0008494   .0001216     6.99   0.000     .0006111    .0010877
       _cons |  -1.663712   .0348297   -47.77   0.000    -1.731977   -1.595447
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26967.603  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =   -26945.2  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26945.168  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26945.168  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26945.168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4787398   .0365167    13.11   0.000     .4071685    .5503111
      _start |   .0008506   .0001216     7.00   0.000     .0006123    .0010889
       _cons |  -1.663972   .0348312   -47.77   0.000     -1.73224   -1.595704
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26968.703  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26943.532  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26943.459  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26943.459  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26943.459
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4786898   .0365168    13.11   0.000     .4071182    .5502615
      _start |   .0008514   .0001216     7.00   0.000     .0006131    .0010898
       _cons |  -1.664117   .0348321   -47.78   0.000    -1.732386   -1.595847
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 4: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -27178.235  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -26969.132  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -26942.259  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -26942.125  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -26942.125  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      8,903
Log likelihood = -26942.125
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .4786806   .0365169    13.11   0.000     .4071087    .5502524
      _start |   .0008518   .0001216     7.00   0.000     .0006135    .0010902
       _cons |  -1.664182   .0348326   -47.78   0.000    -1.732453   -1.595911
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.2435  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3154.1043  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3126.2797  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3125.8464  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3125.8461  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3125.8461  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3125.8461
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1044096   .1287407     0.81   0.417    -.1479175    .3567366
      _start |  -.0000655   .0000961    -0.68   0.495    -.0002539    .0001228
tipo_de_pl~) |  -.0985459   .0487178    -2.02   0.043    -.1940311   -.0030607
       _cons |  -8.225107   .1406857   -58.46   0.000    -8.500846   -7.949368
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.1645  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3171.5631  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3108.0213  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3107.8186  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3107.8185  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.8185
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0217844   .1339164    -0.16   0.871    -.2842559     .240687
      _start |  -.0001025   .0000958    -1.07   0.285    -.0002903    .0000853
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3681334   .0765708    -4.81   0.000    -.5182094   -.2180574
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3233872   .0623572     5.19   0.000     .2011694     .445605
       _cons |    -8.1915   .1397917   -58.60   0.000    -8.465486   -7.917513
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.1648  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3170.8523  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3108.0658  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3107.8008  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3107.8007  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.8007
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0312228   .1372347    -0.23   0.820    -.3001979    .2377522
      _start |  -.0001031   .0000958    -1.08   0.282     -.000291    .0000847
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3803044   .0852519    -4.46   0.000    -.5473952   -.2132137
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3372681   .0762721     4.42   0.000     .1877775    .4867587
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0404553   .0661567     0.61   0.541    -.0892095    .1701202
       _cons |  -8.190892   .1397913   -58.59   0.000    -8.464878   -7.916907
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.1556  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3190.6074  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3108.1761  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3107.4084  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3107.4072  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3107.4072  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.4072
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0194228    .137287    -0.14   0.887    -.2885004    .2496548
      _start |  -.0001022   .0000958    -1.07   0.286      -.00029    .0000856
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3545979   .0884545    -4.01   0.000    -.5279656   -.1812303
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3185777   .0761993     4.18   0.000     .1692299    .4679255
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0239365   .0717444     0.33   0.739      -.11668     .164553
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0512809   .0679002    -0.76   0.450    -.1843627     .081801
       _cons |  -8.191721   .1398009   -58.60   0.000    -8.465726   -7.917717
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.1534  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3110.9568  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3107.3399  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3107.3081  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3107.3081  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.3081
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0215684   .1379582    -0.16   0.876    -.2919615    .2488247
      _start |  -.0001023   .0000958    -1.07   0.286    -.0002902    .0000855
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3548658   .0900183    -3.94   0.000    -.5312984   -.1784331
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3235953   .0795503     4.07   0.000     .1676795    .4795111
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0372768   .0695073     0.54   0.592     -.098955    .1735087
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0459582    .070562    -0.65   0.515    -.1842572    .0923409
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0041636   .0692386    -0.06   0.952    -.1398687    .1315416
       _cons |  -8.191648   .1398069   -58.59   0.000    -8.465664   -7.917631
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.1522  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3110.6819  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3107.1743  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3107.1437  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3107.1437  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.1437
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0164928    .137758    -0.12   0.905    -.2864935    .2535079
      _start |  -.0001022   .0000958    -1.07   0.286      -.00029    .0000856
tipo_de_pl~1 |    -.34462   .0901928    -3.82   0.000    -.5213946   -.1678454
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3178365   .0787247     4.04   0.000      .163539     .472134
tipo_de_pl~3 |    .033297    .067879     0.49   0.624    -.0997434    .1663375
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0495755   .0667999    -0.74   0.458    -.1805009      .08135
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0191111    .069848    -0.27   0.784    -.1560106    .1177885
tipo_de_pl~6 |  -.0398077   .0708346    -0.56   0.574     -.178641    .0990255
       _cons |  -8.191757   .1398048   -58.59   0.000    -8.465769   -7.917745
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.1521  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3110.6113  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3107.0512  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3107.0179  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3107.0179  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3107.0179
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0132428   .1376365    -0.10   0.923    -.2830054    .2565199
      _start |   -.000102   .0000958    -1.06   0.287    -.0002898    .0000858
tipo_de_pl~1 |     -.3402    .089886    -3.78   0.000    -.5163733   -.1640267
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3062787   .0790431     3.87   0.000      .151357    .4612003
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0386968   .0659289     0.59   0.557    -.0905215    .1679151
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0479983   .0655773    -0.73   0.464    -.1765275    .0805308
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0354302   .0668234    -0.53   0.596    -.1664017    .0955413
tipo_de_pl~6 |   -.024629   .0697516    -0.35   0.724    -.1613397    .1120816
tipo_de_pl~7 |  -.0611979   .0760105    -0.81   0.421    -.2101757    .0877799
       _cons |  -8.191912   .1398036   -58.60   0.000    -8.465922   -7.917902
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.2541  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3148.0642  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3127.8326  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3127.7841  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3127.7841  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3127.7841
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1436862   .1267256     1.13   0.257    -.1046913    .3920638
      _start |  -.0000475   .0000961    -0.49   0.621    -.0002359    .0001408
       _cons |  -8.241624   .1410604   -58.43   0.000    -8.518098   -7.965151
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -1210740  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3195.2524  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3131.6986  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3126.3688  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3126.0453  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3126.0441  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3126.0441  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3126.0441
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1427868   .1267259     1.13   0.260    -.1055914    .3911649
      _start |  -.0000679   .0000963    -0.71   0.481    -.0002567    .0001209
       _cons |   -7.63683   .3456953   -22.09   0.000    -8.314381    -6.95928
  log(gamma) |  -.0846027   .0462105    -1.83   0.067    -.1751735    .0059682
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -5.11e+144  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -152411.18  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -128025.39  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -107541.33  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -90727.994  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -90421.464  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -89811.044  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -89586.184  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -89153.501  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -88875.734  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -88362.875  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -88007.769  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -84963.108  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -83481.474  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -81824.859  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -81170.703  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -80798.508  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -80480.287  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -79653.538  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -43055.313  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -41333.107  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -38694.213  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -37771.361  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -37366.989  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood =  -37115.18  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood =  -36712.01  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -36385.642  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -24187.143  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -20319.114  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -18851.565  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood =  -18309.04  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -17814.856  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -17492.185  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -17122.891  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -16675.983  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -16466.776  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood =   -16071.6  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood =  -15864.13  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -15530.402  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood =  -15303.27  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood = -14857.767  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -14592.511  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log likelihood = -14272.236  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -14088.688  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log likelihood = -13847.877  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood = -13655.063  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -13147.259  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log likelihood =  -13058.98  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log likelihood = -12989.579  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -12956.482  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log likelihood =  -12901.43  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log likelihood = -12858.922  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log likelihood =  -12776.98  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log likelihood =  -12722.16  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log likelihood = -12684.106  (not concave)
Iteration 55:  log likelihood = -12639.936  (not concave)
Iteration 56:  log likelihood = -12613.106  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log likelihood = -12579.964  (not concave)
Iteration 58:  log likelihood = -12550.375  (not concave)
Iteration 59:  log likelihood = -12524.837  (not concave)
Iteration 60:  log likelihood =  -12496.19  (not concave)
Iteration 61:  log likelihood = -12465.696  (not concave)
Iteration 62:  log likelihood = -12412.441  (not concave)
Iteration 63:  log likelihood = -12370.848  (not concave)
Iteration 64:  log likelihood =  -12328.21  (not concave)
Iteration 65:  log likelihood = -6874.0935  
Iteration 66:  log likelihood = -5686.7523  (backed up)
Iteration 67:  log likelihood = -3701.9059  (backed up)
Iteration 68:  log likelihood = -3416.8606  
Iteration 69:  log likelihood =  -3119.574  
Iteration 70:  log likelihood = -3114.5375  
Iteration 71:  log likelihood = -3114.4469  
Iteration 72:  log likelihood = -3114.4469  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3114.4469
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1373301   .1267466     1.08   0.279    -.1110888    .3857489
      _start |  -.0001171    .000096    -1.22   0.222    -.0003053     .000071
       _cons |  -7.836177   .1580546   -49.58   0.000    -8.145959   -7.526396
       gamma |  -.0004608    .000094    -4.90   0.000    -.0006451   -.0002765
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9666.5506  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3976.8359  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =   -3421.27  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3228.4835  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3141.2523  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3117.6553  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3116.2894  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3116.2828  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3116.2828  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3116.2828
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1713276   .1437854    -1.19   0.233    -.4531417    .1104866
      _start |   .0001053   .0001069     0.99   0.324    -.0001042    .0003148
       _cons |   7.909992   .1633571    48.42   0.000     7.589818    8.230166
       dap:1 |  -.0574531   .0455961    -1.26   0.208    -.1468198    .0319136
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -30146.948  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -4416.235  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3814.0627  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3366.6306  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3263.2866  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3154.6996  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3107.4988  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3105.8997  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3105.8914  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3105.8914  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3105.8914
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1888297   .1458426    -1.29   0.195    -.4746759    .0970165
      _start |   .0001193   .0001064     1.12   0.262    -.0000892    .0003277
       _cons |   7.984793   .1686152    47.36   0.000     7.654313    8.315273
       dap:1 |   .5216453   .0419717    12.43   0.000     .4393822    .6039084
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -15398.597  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3547.0862  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3338.5992  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3185.0561  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3144.2445  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3133.8401  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3128.3599  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3125.4059  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3122.6775  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3119.0668  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -3109.4565  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -3102.1008  
Iteration 12:  log likelihood =  -3101.885  
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -3101.8831  
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -3101.8831  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3101.8831
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2223693   .1487134    -1.50   0.135    -.5138422    .0691036
      _start |   .0001261   .0001038     1.22   0.224    -.0000773    .0003295
       _cons |   7.634149   .2226841    34.28   0.000     7.197696    8.070602
  log(sigma) |    .686933   .0565736    12.14   0.000     .5760508    .7978151
       kappa |  -.7336448   .2663896    -2.75   0.006    -1.255759   -.2115307
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3939.6154  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3128.4943  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3126.0508  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3126.0441  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3126.0441  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3126.0441
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1427868   .1267259     1.13   0.260    -.1055914    .3911649
      _start |  -.0000679   .0000963    -0.71   0.481    -.0002567    .0001209
       _cons |  -1.603072   .1456056   -11.01   0.000    -1.888454    -1.31769
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3161.633  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3102.1915  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3100.3243  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3100.3186  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3100.3186  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3100.3186
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1336288   .1267577     1.05   0.292    -.1148117    .3820693
      _start |  -.0001204   .0000963    -1.25   0.211    -.0003091    .0000683
       _cons |  -1.584509   .1451964   -10.91   0.000    -1.869089    -1.29993
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3165.6229  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.6367  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.7457  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.7394  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.7394  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.7394
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1327125   .1267702     1.05   0.295    -.1157525    .3811776
      _start |  -.0001234   .0000963    -1.28   0.200    -.0003121    .0000653
       _cons |  -1.578951   .1452646   -10.87   0.000    -1.863664   -1.294238
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3167.0948  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3101.492  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.6797  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.6739  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.6739  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.6739
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1328873   .1267724     1.05   0.295     -.115582    .3813566
      _start |   -.000123   .0000963    -1.28   0.201    -.0003118    .0000657
       _cons |  -1.579797   .1453061   -10.87   0.000    -1.864592   -1.295002
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3167.5613  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.6314  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.7153  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.7093  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.7093  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.7093
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    .132946   .1267752     1.05   0.294    -.1155288    .3814208
      _start |   -.000123   .0000963    -1.28   0.201    -.0003117    .0000657
       _cons |  -1.579701   .1453053   -10.87   0.000    -1.864494   -1.294908
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3167.276  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.5721  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.5637  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.5571  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.5571  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.5571
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1331241   .1267769     1.05   0.294    -.1153541    .3816022
      _start |  -.0001229   .0000963    -1.28   0.202    -.0003116    .0000659
       _cons |   -1.57968   .1453125   -10.87   0.000    -1.864487   -1.294872
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3166.1454  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3101.4221  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3099.4186  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3099.4116  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3099.4116  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3099.4116
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1335463   .1267776     1.05   0.292    -.1149333    .3820259
      _start |  -.0001223   .0000963    -1.27   0.204     -.000311    .0000665
       _cons |  -1.580447   .1453198   -10.88   0.000    -1.865269   -1.295626
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3166.1811  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3100.6019  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3098.6556  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3098.6478  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3098.6478  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3098.6478
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1337617   .1267783     1.06   0.291    -.1147193    .3822427
      _start |  -.0001219   .0000963    -1.27   0.206    -.0003106    .0000668
       _cons |  -1.580905   .1453246   -10.88   0.000    -1.865736   -1.296074
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3167.4266  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3099.7988  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3097.9058  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -3097.899  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -3097.899  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood =  -3097.899
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1336369   .1267788     1.05   0.292    -.1148451    .3821189
      _start |  -.0001216   .0000963    -1.26   0.207    -.0003104    .0000671
       _cons |  -1.580472     .14533   -10.88   0.000    -1.865313    -1.29563
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 5: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3171.0412  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3168.7639  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3099.818  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3097.9273  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3097.9205  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3097.9205  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,153
Log likelihood = -3097.9205
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1335907    .126779     1.05   0.292    -.1148915    .3820729
      _start |  -.0001215   .0000963    -1.26   0.207    -.0003103    .0000672
       _cons |  -1.580563    .145331   -10.88   0.000    -1.865406   -1.295719
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.8592  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9367.0049  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -9201.956  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9198.2364  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9198.2164  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9198.2164  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9198.2164
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1192109    .066091    -1.80   0.071    -.2487468     .010325
      _start |  -.0002033   .0000628    -3.24   0.001    -.0003263   -.0000802
tipo_de_pl~) |   -.165705   .0317999    -5.21   0.000    -.2280318   -.1033783
       _cons |  -7.965157   .0618203  -128.84   0.000    -8.086323   -7.843992
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.6613  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9406.8512  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9153.6173  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -9151.325  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9151.3206  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9151.3206  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9151.3206
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2704457   .0717558    -3.77   0.000    -.4110844   -.1298069
      _start |   -.000232   .0000626    -3.71   0.000    -.0003546   -.0001093
tipo_de_pl~1 |   -.434757    .049314    -8.82   0.000    -.5314107   -.3381032
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3713373   .0471558     7.87   0.000     .2789137    .4637609
       _cons |  -7.946963   .0614466  -129.33   0.000    -8.067396    -7.82653
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.6602  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9397.1073  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9152.6296  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9150.7141  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9150.7108  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9150.7108  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9150.7108
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2954331   .0754245    -3.92   0.000    -.4432625   -.1476037
      _start |  -.0002336   .0000626    -3.73   0.000    -.0003563   -.0001109
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4724898   .0593712    -7.96   0.000    -.5888553   -.3561244
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3918724   .0494495     7.92   0.000     .2949532    .4887916
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0781432    .049496     1.58   0.114    -.0188672    .1751535
       _cons |  -7.945921   .0614342  -129.34   0.000     -8.06633   -7.825513
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.6075  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9157.1804  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9147.3796  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9147.2963  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9147.2963  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9147.2963
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2675456    .074896    -3.57   0.000    -.4143389   -.1207522
      _start |  -.0002326   .0000626    -3.72   0.000    -.0003552   -.0001099
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4319179   .0587753    -7.35   0.000    -.5471153   -.3167204
tipo_de_pl~2 |    .343498   .0486848     7.06   0.000     .2480776    .4389185
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0522686   .0489495     1.07   0.286    -.0436706    .1482079
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.1051017   .0472442    -2.22   0.026    -.1976986   -.0125047
       _cons |  -7.946596   .0614431  -129.33   0.000    -8.067022    -7.82617
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.5979  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -9157.468  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9146.7453  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9146.6515  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9146.6515  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9146.6515
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2765033   .0759159    -3.64   0.000    -.4252957   -.1277108
      _start |  -.0002331   .0000626    -3.72   0.000    -.0003558   -.0001104
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4436512   .0611752    -7.25   0.000    -.5635524     -.32375
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3562254   .0502583     7.09   0.000      .257721    .4547299
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0871737   .0495333     1.76   0.078    -.0099098    .1842571
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0818623    .048955    -1.67   0.094    -.1778124    .0140879
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .0158699   .0478066     0.33   0.740    -.0778294    .1095692
       _cons |  -7.946278   .0614414  -129.33   0.000    -8.066701   -7.825855
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -9443.596  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9157.0677  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9146.3615  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9146.2635  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9146.2635  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9146.2635
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2806253   .0765002    -3.67   0.000    -.4305628   -.1306877
      _start |   -.000233   .0000626    -3.72   0.000    -.0003557   -.0001103
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4513112   .0628104    -7.19   0.000    -.5744173   -.3282052
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3608753   .0514953     7.01   0.000     .2599465    .4618041
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .1053828    .050004     2.11   0.035     .0073768    .2033888
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0635914   .0485556    -1.31   0.190    -.1587586    .0315759
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0131094   .0473865    -0.28   0.782    -.1059851    .0797664
tipo_de_pl~6 |   .0481498    .049235     0.98   0.328    -.0483491    .1446487
       _cons |  -7.946308   .0614432  -129.33   0.000    -8.066734   -7.825881
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.5951  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9157.5534  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9146.4555  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9146.3564  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9146.3564  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9146.3564
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2764472   .0763399    -3.62   0.000    -.4260706   -.1268237
      _start |   -.000233   .0000626    -3.72   0.000    -.0003557   -.0001103
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4445374   .0627023    -7.09   0.000    -.5674316   -.3216431
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3528949   .0513144     6.88   0.000     .2523205    .4534694
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .1066931    .049427     2.16   0.031      .009818    .2035683
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0614374   .0477339    -1.29   0.198    -.1549942    .0321195
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0391501   .0451697    -0.87   0.386    -.1276812    .0493809
tipo_de_pl~6 |   .0258212     .04717     0.55   0.584    -.0666303    .1182727
tipo_de_pl~7 |   .0035818   .0505832     0.07   0.944    -.0955593     .102723
       _cons |  -7.946306   .0614422  -129.33   0.000     -8.06673   -7.825881
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.9309  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9303.9282  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9211.1917  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9210.5965  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9210.5963  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9210.5963
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0490546    .063757    -0.77   0.442     -.174016    .0759069
      _start |  -.0001832   .0000629    -2.91   0.004    -.0003066   -.0000599
       _cons |  -7.977979   .0621056  -128.46   0.000    -8.099704   -7.856254
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -3380651  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9443.9039  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9238.2339  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9202.9826  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9185.5412  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9185.5058  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9185.5058  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9185.5058
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0451127   .0637617    -0.71   0.479    -.1700834     .079858
      _start |  -.0002248   .0000627    -3.59   0.000    -.0003476    -.000102
       _cons |  -6.719911   .1784237   -37.66   0.000    -7.069615   -6.370207
  log(gamma) |  -.1863446   .0273983    -6.80   0.000    -.2400444   -.1326449
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1.77e+149  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -456879.02  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -383778.38  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -353076.11  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -330479.24  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -313577.92  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -310568.83  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -308770.95  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -307727.49  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -303850.37  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -302241.46  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -300419.09  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -299447.29  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -297435.84  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood =  -296486.2  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -294515.42  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -293564.36  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -291617.21  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -290658.23  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -288772.85  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -287770.85  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -285981.27  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -284795.73  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -279743.09  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -277241.92  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood =  -274259.2  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -273170.03  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -257582.52  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -245462.01  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -238063.51  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood =  -236105.4  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -232446.72  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -230020.31  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -68271.168  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -46424.395  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -38996.731  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood = -35881.028  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -31541.597  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -30203.302  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood = -29259.212  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood = -24507.372  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -23587.507  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log likelihood = -21263.409  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -19743.071  
Iteration 44:  log likelihood = -12568.594  (backed up)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood = -12501.605  
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -9207.1477  
Iteration 47:  log likelihood = -9126.6563  
Iteration 48:  log likelihood = -9124.7416  
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -9124.7359  
Iteration 50:  log likelihood = -9124.7359  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9124.7359
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0399495   .0637651    -0.63   0.531    -.1649268    .0850277
      _start |  -.0002806   .0000624    -4.49   0.000    -.0004029   -.0001582
       _cons |  -7.418221   .0726182  -102.15   0.000     -7.56055   -7.275892
       gamma |  -.0006955   .0000577   -12.06   0.000    -.0008085   -.0005825
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -26309.115  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -11855.36  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -10098.051  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9385.0006  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9310.9048  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9154.7551  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9150.9887  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -9150.9811  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -9150.9811  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9150.9811
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0698759   .0810451     0.86   0.389    -.0889695    .2287213
      _start |   .0003193   .0000758     4.21   0.000     .0001707     .000468
       _cons |   7.611495   .0806969    94.32   0.000     7.453332    7.769658
       dap:1 |   .0309724   .0268341     1.15   0.248    -.0216215    .0835663
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -81352.372  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -37322.921  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -36518.694  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -36518.41  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -36518.262  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -36518.086  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -36513.111  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -36507.899  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -36476.341  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood =  -36430.55  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -36414.201  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -36406.359  
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -36405.924  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -36247.664  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -36014.041  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -36011.309  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -36010.303  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -36009.498  
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -36009.122  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -36007.632  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -36006.317  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -35592.818  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -35392.338  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -35379.943  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -35376.623  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood = -35365.985  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -35361.685  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -35343.283  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -35333.126  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -35331.278  
Iteration 30:  log likelihood = -35318.478  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -35305.821  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -35299.324  
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -35297.788  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -32600.052  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -30267.464  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood = -30266.217  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -30234.446  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -29363.141  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood = -28771.232  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood = -28763.873  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -28754.742  
Iteration 42:  log likelihood =   -28751.8  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -28706.774  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log likelihood = -28680.175  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood = -28676.317  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -28672.662  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log likelihood = -28656.531  
Iteration 48:  log likelihood =  -28631.02  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -28546.986  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log likelihood = -28461.391  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log likelihood = -28459.647  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log likelihood = -27708.292  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log likelihood = -27106.383  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log likelihood =   -27105.5  
Iteration 55:  log likelihood = -27102.719  (not concave)
Iteration 56:  log likelihood = -10751.231  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log likelihood = -9896.5101  (not concave)
Iteration 58:  log likelihood = -9497.2869  (not concave)
Iteration 59:  log likelihood = -9309.0388  
Iteration 60:  log likelihood = -9140.0691  
Iteration 61:  log likelihood =  -9121.877  
Iteration 62:  log likelihood = -9121.7349  
Iteration 63:  log likelihood = -9121.7348  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9121.7348
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0748881    .082338     0.91   0.363    -.0864914    .2362675
      _start |   .0003218   .0000739     4.35   0.000      .000177    .0004666
       _cons |   7.680821    .083551    91.93   0.000     7.517064    7.844578
       dap:1 |   .5994054   .0247249    24.24   0.000     .5509455    .6478652
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -41995.107  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -10178.234  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9629.5375  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -9216.347  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9202.9999  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9127.2957  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9114.1518  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -9113.6149  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -9113.6124  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -9113.6124  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9113.6124
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0852479   .0846689     1.01   0.314    -.0807001    .2511959
      _start |   .0003227   .0000726     4.45   0.000     .0001805     .000465
       _cons |   7.412697   .1120972    66.13   0.000     7.192991    7.632404
  log(sigma) |    .724248   .0349278    20.74   0.000     .6557908    .7927053
       kappa |  -.5009714    .125015    -4.01   0.000    -.7459964   -.2559464
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -11137.41  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9188.1695  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9185.5123  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9185.5058  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9185.5058  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9185.5058
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0451127   .0637617    -0.71   0.479    -.1700834     .079858
      _start |  -.0002248   .0000627    -3.59   0.000    -.0003476    -.000102
       _cons |  -1.221403   .0641343   -19.04   0.000    -1.347104   -1.095702
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9169.2656  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9092.5247  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9091.7801  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9091.7798  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9091.7798
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   -.042259   .0637697    -0.66   0.508    -.1672453    .0827274
      _start |  -.0002835   .0000625    -4.54   0.000    -.0004059   -.0001611
       _cons |  -1.208938   .0638262   -18.94   0.000    -1.334035   -1.083841
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9103.4508  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9086.2832  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9085.5901  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9085.5878  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9085.5878  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9085.5878
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0418093   .0637724    -0.66   0.512    -.1668008    .0831823
      _start |  -.0002889   .0000625    -4.62   0.000    -.0004114   -.0001664
       _cons |  -1.202013   .0638438   -18.83   0.000    -1.327144   -1.076881
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9248.3502  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -9143.715  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9103.5523  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9081.2704  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -9080.525  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9080.5223  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -9080.5223  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9080.5223
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0422811   .0637738    -0.66   0.507    -.1672754    .0827132
      _start |  -.0002877   .0000625    -4.60   0.000    -.0004101   -.0001652
       _cons |  -1.204185   .0638625   -18.86   0.000    -1.329353   -1.079016
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9247.1389  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9133.5362  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9098.5633  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9081.3238  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9080.8842  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -9080.8835  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9080.8835
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0423036   .0637738    -0.66   0.507    -.1672979    .0826908
      _start |  -.0002876   .0000625    -4.60   0.000    -.0004101   -.0001652
       _cons |  -1.204379   .0638649   -18.86   0.000    -1.329552   -1.079206
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9102.5466  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9081.0885  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9080.4002  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9080.3995  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9080.3995
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0422106   .0637736    -0.66   0.508    -.1672045    .0827834
      _start |   -.000288   .0000625    -4.61   0.000    -.0004105   -.0001655
       _cons |  -1.204036   .0638654   -18.85   0.000     -1.32921   -1.078862
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9102.4384  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9081.0081  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9080.3136  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9080.3121  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9080.3121  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9080.3121
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0421689   .0637735    -0.66   0.508    -.1671628    .0828249
      _start |  -.0002881   .0000625    -4.61   0.000    -.0004106   -.0001656
       _cons |  -1.204082   .0638667   -18.85   0.000    -1.329259   -1.078906
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9102.2721  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9080.7188  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9080.0171  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9080.0155  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -9080.0155  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9080.0155
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0421519   .0637737    -0.66   0.509     -.167146    .0828422
      _start |  -.0002881   .0000625    -4.61   0.000    -.0004106   -.0001656
       _cons |  -1.204208   .0638686   -18.85   0.000    -1.329388   -1.079028
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9102.1136  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9080.5218  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9079.7964  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9079.7957  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9079.7957
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0421099   .0637737    -0.66   0.509     -.167104    .0828841
      _start |  -.0002881   .0000625    -4.61   0.000    -.0004106   -.0001656
       _cons |  -1.204376   .0638699   -18.86   0.000    -1.329559   -1.079194
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 6: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9274.6711  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9102.1182  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9080.3377  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -9079.6033  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -9079.6025  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      3,049
Log likelihood = -9079.6025
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.0420656   .0637739    -0.66   0.510    -.1670603     .082929
      _start |   -.000288   .0000625    -4.61   0.000    -.0004105   -.0001655
       _cons |  -1.204558   .0638714   -18.86   0.000    -1.329744   -1.079372
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.33186  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -907.3791  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -887.02921  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -886.82874  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -886.82851  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -886.82851  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -886.82851
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2074007   .2302759    -0.90   0.368     -.658733    .2439317
      _start |   .0002158   .0001634     1.32   0.187    -.0001046    .0005361
tipo_de_pl~) |  -.0792924   .0988673    -0.80   0.423    -.2730688    .1144839
       _cons |  -8.217272   .3066798   -26.79   0.000    -8.818353    -7.61619
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.30681  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -881.91826  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -880.99901  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -880.99297  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -880.99297  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -880.99297
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3299854    .239438    -1.38   0.168    -.7992753    .1393045
      _start |    .000151   .0001634     0.92   0.356    -.0001693    .0004712
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3539271   .1510394    -2.34   0.019     -.649959   -.0578953
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3781656    .128423     2.94   0.003      .126461    .6298701
       _cons |  -8.123361   .3035865   -26.76   0.000    -8.718379   -7.528342
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -913.3052  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -911.85363  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -880.62485  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -880.44982  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -880.44948  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -880.44948  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -880.44948
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3865216   .2497712    -1.55   0.122    -.8760642     .103021
      _start |    .000152   .0001639     0.93   0.354    -.0001693    .0004733
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.4193529    .172658    -2.43   0.015    -.7577565   -.0809494
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .4457014   .1446715     3.08   0.002     .1621504    .7292524
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .1566536   .1261478     1.24   0.214    -.0905916    .4038988
       _cons |  -8.124888   .3042225   -26.71   0.000    -8.721154   -7.528623
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.30077  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -907.07124  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -877.75515  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -877.61064  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -877.61043  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -877.61043  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -877.61043
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.5608855   .2798016    -2.00   0.045    -1.109287   -.0124845
      _start |   .0001509   .0001639     0.92   0.357    -.0001704    .0004721
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6445608   .2323621    -2.77   0.006    -1.099982   -.1891395
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .5961729   .1905969     3.13   0.002       .22261    .9697359
tipo_de_pl~3 |    .310669   .1630426     1.91   0.057    -.0088887    .6302267
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .3584352   .1480994     2.42   0.016     .0681656    .6487048
       _cons |    -8.1232   .3041431   -26.71   0.000     -8.71931    -7.52709
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.29959  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -908.23418  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -877.30317  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -877.08929  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -877.08875  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -877.08875  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -877.08875
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.5747427   .2906309    -1.98   0.048    -1.144369   -.0051165
      _start |   .0001521   .0001641     0.93   0.354    -.0001695    .0004737
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6553585   .2579986    -2.54   0.011    -1.161026   -.1496905
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .5984015   .2095911     2.86   0.004     .1876106    1.009192
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .2550066   .1704274     1.50   0.135    -.0790248    .5890381
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .4273311   .1626828     2.63   0.009     .1084786    .7461835
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .1432514   .1586243     0.90   0.366    -.1676465    .4541493
       _cons |  -8.125023   .3043901   -26.69   0.000    -8.721617    -7.52843
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.30002  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -908.05115  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -877.03775  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -876.81067  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -876.81005  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -876.81005  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -876.81005
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.6342128   .3098253    -2.05   0.041    -1.241459   -.0269663
      _start |   .0001534   .0001642     0.93   0.350    -.0001684    .0004752
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.7357359   .2914869    -2.52   0.012     -1.30704    -.164432
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .6667017   .2365443     2.82   0.005     .2030834     1.13032
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .2699174   .1840516     1.47   0.143     -.090817    .6306519
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .4736461   .1816642     2.61   0.009     .1175908    .8297014
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .2408774   .1633571     1.47   0.140    -.0792967    .5610515
tipo_de_pl~6 |   .1579566   .1435524     1.10   0.271     -.123401    .4393141
       _cons |  -8.126878   .3045772   -26.68   0.000    -8.723838   -7.529917
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -913.2916  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -878.1978  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -875.1581  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -874.79887  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -874.79379  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -874.79379  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -874.79379
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.8096281   .3616646    -2.24   0.025    -1.518478   -.1007785
      _start |   .0001521   .0001642     0.93   0.354    -.0001698     .000474
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.9508921   .3739016    -2.54   0.011    -1.683726   -.2180586
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .8328326   .2951505     2.82   0.005     .2543483    1.411317
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .3988178   .2214424     1.80   0.072    -.0352014     .832837
tipo_de_pl~4 |   .6127701   .2224277     2.75   0.006     .1768197     1.04872
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .4257023   .1895099     2.25   0.025     .0542698    .7971349
tipo_de_pl~6 |    .178459   .1685796     1.06   0.290     -.151951    .5088691
tipo_de_pl~7 |   .3276262    .153627     2.13   0.033     .0265229    .6287295
       _cons |  -8.124973   .3045495   -26.68   0.000    -8.721879   -7.528067
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.33356  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -906.26096  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -887.31818  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -887.13736  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -887.13719  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -887.13719  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -887.13719
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1795842   .2270329    -0.79   0.429    -.6245605    .2653921
      _start |   .0002463   .0001599     1.54   0.123    -.0000671    .0005597
       _cons |  -8.262026   .3040605   -27.17   0.000    -8.857973   -7.666078
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -312806  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -913.33304  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -889.30303  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -886.85442  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -886.67488  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -886.67436  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -886.67436  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -886.67436
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1821524   .2269769    -0.80   0.422    -.6270189    .2627141
      _start |   .0002063   .0001639     1.26   0.208    -.0001148    .0005275
       _cons |  -7.650675    .689307   -11.10   0.000    -9.001692   -6.299658
  log(gamma) |  -.0813914    .086132    -0.94   0.345    -.2502071    .0874243
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2.57e+139  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -66218.928  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -45028.871  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -30619.735  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -28198.098  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -27197.242  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -26549.945  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -25649.145  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -10473.665  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -8797.8783  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -7390.2179  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -7094.6183  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -6641.4485  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -6333.0731  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -6279.4272  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -6236.2334  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -6017.7365  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -5954.6689  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -5889.6757  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -5849.4954  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood =  -5801.612  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood =  -5718.474  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -5508.0172  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -5262.5208  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -5188.8166  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood =  -5141.912  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -5082.3661  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood =  -5014.149  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -4978.8682  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood =  -4925.646  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood = -4886.6013  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -4815.7283  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -4764.2587  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -4578.7429  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -4445.8647  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -4255.2033  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood = -3706.3167  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -3552.6457  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -3466.9768  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood = -3421.8232  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood =  -3389.952  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -3358.9312  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log likelihood = -3333.6872  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -3308.6916  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log likelihood = -3282.6768  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood = -3242.6163  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -3229.4683  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log likelihood = -3215.5362  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log likelihood = -3195.2188  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -3173.9505  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log likelihood = -2949.0213  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log likelihood =  -2929.253  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log likelihood = -2912.6053  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log likelihood = -2899.9761  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log likelihood = -2886.7169  (not concave)
Iteration 55:  log likelihood = -2876.3431  (not concave)
Iteration 56:  log likelihood = -2865.4762  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log likelihood = -2849.9194  (not concave)
Iteration 58:  log likelihood = -2832.7419  (not concave)
Iteration 59:  log likelihood = -2781.2183  (not concave)
Iteration 60:  log likelihood = -2726.3897  (not concave)
Iteration 61:  log likelihood = -2715.0361  (not concave)
Iteration 62:  log likelihood = -2705.4236  (not concave)
Iteration 63:  log likelihood = -2692.2344  (not concave)
Iteration 64:  log likelihood = -2677.0505  (not concave)
Iteration 65:  log likelihood = -2666.1187  (not concave)
Iteration 66:  log likelihood = -2655.8853  (not concave)
Iteration 67:  log likelihood = -2521.6681  (not concave)
Iteration 68:  log likelihood = -2400.3919  (not concave)
Iteration 69:  log likelihood = -2387.6516  (not concave)
Iteration 70:  log likelihood = -2376.7604  (not concave)
Iteration 71:  log likelihood = -2365.7504  (not concave)
Iteration 72:  log likelihood =  -2349.291  (not concave)
Iteration 73:  log likelihood = -2331.5418  (not concave)
Iteration 74:  log likelihood = -2208.7056  (not concave)
Iteration 75:  log likelihood = -2112.2574  (not concave)
Iteration 76:  log likelihood =  -2102.005  (not concave)
Iteration 77:  log likelihood = -2079.2941  (not concave)
Iteration 78:  log likelihood = -2068.3733  (not concave)
Iteration 79:  log likelihood = -1272.0912  
Iteration 80:  log likelihood = -1130.6587  
Iteration 81:  log likelihood =  -986.5219  
Iteration 82:  log likelihood = -913.98783  
Iteration 83:  log likelihood = -881.99261  
Iteration 84:  log likelihood = -881.55869  
Iteration 85:  log likelihood = -881.55519  
Iteration 86:  log likelihood = -881.55519  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -881.55519
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1850827   .2267549    -0.82   0.414    -.6295142    .2593487
      _start |    .000102   .0001616     0.63   0.528    -.0002148    .0004188
       _cons |  -7.649145   .3413225   -22.41   0.000    -8.318125   -6.980165
       gamma |  -.0006361   .0002029    -3.13   0.002    -.0010338   -.0002383
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2765.0566  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1072.9833  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -945.08904  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -913.85799  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -886.39521  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -883.60711  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -883.53328  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -883.53326  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -883.53326
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2346446   .2634534     0.89   0.373    -.2817146    .7510037
      _start |  -.0001368   .0001796    -0.76   0.446    -.0004888    .0002151
       _cons |   7.765696   .3513918    22.10   0.000      7.07698    8.454411
       dap:1 |  -.0586695   .0850314    -0.69   0.490    -.2253279     .107989
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -8494.3717  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1211.3534  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -1039.5434  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -956.51741  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -909.3245  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -895.77646  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -882.14213  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -880.16656  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -880.13936  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -880.13935  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -880.13935
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .2242175   .2700356     0.83   0.406    -.3050426    .7534775
      _start |  -.0000368   .0001837    -0.20   0.841    -.0003969    .0003232
       _cons |   7.711187   .3635773    21.21   0.000     6.998588    8.423785
       dap:1 |   .5215261    .078002     6.69   0.000     .3686449    .6744072
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -4292.9639  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -1007.0946  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -934.17664  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -914.78834  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -901.80544  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -893.89501  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -878.57278  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -877.37204  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -877.04265  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -877.03817  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -877.03816  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -877.03816
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1595136   .2779621     0.57   0.566    -.3852822    .7043093
      _start |   .0002074   .0002024     1.02   0.305    -.0001892     .000604
       _cons |   6.599554   .5885098    11.21   0.000     5.446096    7.753012
  log(sigma) |   .7159153   .0756556     9.46   0.000      .567633    .8641977
       kappa |  -1.395809   .5403057    -2.58   0.010    -2.454789   -.3368296
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1137.4437  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -888.1288  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -886.67467  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -886.67436  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -886.67436  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -886.67436
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1821524   .2269769    -0.80   0.422    -.6270189    .2627141
      _start |   .0002063   .0001639     1.26   0.208    -.0001148    .0005275
       _cons |  -1.766849   .3227326    -5.47   0.000    -2.399393   -1.134305
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -883.92808  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -877.97914  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -877.88547  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -877.88537  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -877.88537  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -877.88537
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1906038   .2267172    -0.84   0.401    -.6349614    .2537538
      _start |   .0001293   .0001634     0.79   0.429     -.000191    .0004496
       _cons |  -1.706211   .3183836    -5.36   0.000    -2.330231    -1.08219
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =   -882.911  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -877.60329  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -877.49815  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -877.49793  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -877.49793  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -877.49793
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1906202   .2267059    -0.84   0.400    -.6349556    .2537153
      _start |   .0001281   .0001636     0.78   0.434    -.0001927    .0004488
       _cons |  -1.703595   .3185181    -5.35   0.000    -2.327879   -1.079311
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -880.56405  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -874.50978  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -874.3055  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -874.30465  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -874.30465  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -874.30465
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1826957   .2267586    -0.81   0.420    -.6271344     .261743
      _start |   .0001232   .0001639     0.75   0.452     -.000198    .0004444
       _cons |  -1.712216   .3192268    -5.36   0.000    -2.337889   -1.086543
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -880.01522  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -874.13848  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -873.88597  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -873.88484  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -873.88484  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -873.88484
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   -.181491   .2267895    -0.80   0.424    -.6259902    .2630082
      _start |   .0001226   .0001639     0.75   0.454    -.0001986    .0004438
       _cons |  -1.716774   .3196538    -5.37   0.000    -2.343284   -1.090265
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -879.91444  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -874.01153  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -873.76229  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -873.76099  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -873.76099  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -873.76099
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1814189   .2267892    -0.80   0.424    -.6259176    .2630799
      _start |   .0001224   .0001639     0.75   0.455    -.0001988    .0004436
       _cons |  -1.716615   .3196999    -5.37   0.000    -2.343215   -1.090014
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -879.79025  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -873.75266  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -873.49042  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -873.48818  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -873.48818  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -873.48818
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   -.180783   .2268026    -0.80   0.425    -.6253079    .2637418
      _start |   .0001218   .0001639     0.74   0.457    -.0001993     .000443
       _cons |  -1.716691   .3197823    -5.37   0.000    -2.343452   -1.089929
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -881.00527  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -873.54329  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -872.40114  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -872.2379  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -872.23364  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -872.23364  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -872.23364
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1807134   .2268121    -0.80   0.426     -.625257    .2638301
      _start |   .0001214   .0001639     0.74   0.459    -.0001998    .0004426
       _cons |  -1.716867   .3199281    -5.37   0.000    -2.343914   -1.089819
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -886.48343  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -874.28529  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -870.98152  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -870.7442  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -870.74275  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -870.74275  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -870.74275
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1786068   .2268269    -0.79   0.431    -.6231792    .2659657
      _start |   .0001225    .000164     0.75   0.455    -.0001989    .0004439
       _cons |  -1.716313   .3200725    -5.36   0.000    -2.343644   -1.088983
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 7: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =   -924.447  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -885.99032  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -874.0559  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -870.68609  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -870.43495  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -870.43383  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -870.43383  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =        341
Log likelihood = -870.43383
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.1779408   .2268311    -0.78   0.433    -.6225216      .26664
      _start |   .0001222    .000164     0.75   0.456    -.0001992    .0004436
       _cons |  -1.715807   .3200375    -5.36   0.000    -2.343069   -1.088545
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 1
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.6873  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3224.1181  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -3220.193  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3220.1619  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3220.1619  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3220.1619
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1393235   .1098896     1.27   0.205    -.0760561    .3547032
      _start |  -.0001252   .0000914    -1.37   0.171    -.0003044    .0000541
tipo_de_pl~) |  -.1233191   .0533826    -2.31   0.021     -.227947   -.0186912
       _cons |  -7.887807   .1236167   -63.81   0.000    -8.130092   -7.645523
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 2
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3349.608  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3209.5811  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3206.5358  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3206.5106  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3206.5106  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3206.5106
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0370896   .1157106     0.32   0.749    -.1896989    .2638782
      _start |  -.0001639   .0000919    -1.78   0.075    -.0003441    .0000163
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3658001   .0803971    -4.55   0.000    -.5233756   -.2082247
tipo_de_pl~2 |    .312639   .0715344     4.37   0.000     .1724341    .4528439
       _cons |   -7.84905   .1231237   -63.75   0.000    -8.090368   -7.607732
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 3
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.6082  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3209.4188  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3206.5649  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3206.5411  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3206.5411  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3206.5411
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0305884   .1199168     0.26   0.799    -.2044443    .2656211
      _start |  -.0001645    .000092    -1.79   0.074    -.0003448    .0000158
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3749369   .0915772    -4.09   0.000    -.5544249   -.1954488
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .3184204   .0773081     4.12   0.000     .1668993    .4699416
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0341468   .0823634     0.41   0.678    -.1272825    .1955761
       _cons |    -7.8485   .1231564   -63.73   0.000    -8.089882   -7.607117
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 4
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.5853  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3209.5369  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3205.0243  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -3204.989  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -3204.989  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood =  -3204.989
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0538865   .1189605     0.45   0.651    -.1792719    .2870449
      _start |  -.0001638    .000092    -1.78   0.075    -.0003441    .0000164
tipo_de_pl~1 |    -.33302   .0904689    -3.68   0.000    -.5103358   -.1557043
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .2725343   .0743397     3.67   0.000     .1268311    .4182374
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0103432    .079895     0.13   0.897     -.146248    .1669345
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.1311718   .0794222    -1.65   0.099    -.2868365    .0244929
       _cons |  -7.849133   .1231559   -63.73   0.000    -8.090514   -7.607751
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 5
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.5781  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3211.093  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3204.7077  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3204.6349  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3204.6349  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3204.6349
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0464536   .1200688     0.39   0.699    -.1888769    .2817842
      _start |  -.0001648    .000092    -1.79   0.073    -.0003451    .0000155
tipo_de_pl~1 |   -.341193   .0932701    -3.66   0.000     -.523999    -.158387
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .2815236   .0754066     3.73   0.000     .1337293    .4293179
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0437895   .0799214     0.55   0.584    -.1128536    .2004325
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.1161898   .0802028    -1.45   0.147    -.2733844    .0410049
tipo_de_pl~5 |   .0076877   .0807411     0.10   0.924    -.1505619    .1659372
       _cons |  -7.848167   .1231532   -63.73   0.000    -8.089543   -7.606791
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 6
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.5774  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3211.0245  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3204.6313  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3204.5582  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3204.5582  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3204.5582
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0444792   .1206262     0.37   0.712    -.1919437    .2809022
      _start |   -.000165    .000092    -1.79   0.073    -.0003453    .0000153
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3447724   .0951216    -3.62   0.000    -.5312074   -.1583374
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .2848543   .0766356     3.72   0.000     .1346513    .4350574
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0599144   .0794777     0.75   0.451    -.0958591    .2156879
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.1072238   .0785548    -1.36   0.172    -.2611883    .0467408
tipo_de_pl~5 |   -.017476   .0805088    -0.22   0.828    -.1752703    .1403183
tipo_de_pl~6 |   .0203595   .0820124     0.25   0.804    -.1403819     .181101
       _cons |  -7.847971   .1231549   -63.72   0.000     -8.08935   -7.606592
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Cox tvc 7
 ***********
variables created for model 1, component 3: _cmp_1_3_1 to _cmp_1_3_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.5762  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3210.7502  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3204.4474  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3204.3754  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3204.3753  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3204.3753
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .0414837   .1213581     0.34   0.732    -.1963738    .2793412
      _start |   -.000165    .000092    -1.79   0.073    -.0003453    .0000153
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.3512541   .0974016    -3.61   0.000    -.5421576   -.1603505
tipo_de_pl~2 |   .2912226   .0780993     3.73   0.000     .1381509    .4442944
tipo_de_pl~3 |   .0771243   .0795393     0.97   0.332    -.0787698    .2330185
tipo_de_pl~4 |  -.0974203   .0783648    -1.24   0.214    -.2510124    .0561719
tipo_de_pl~5 |  -.0251768   .0775175    -0.32   0.745    -.1771083    .1267547
tipo_de_pl~6 |    .004956   .0782012     0.06   0.949    -.1483156    .1582276
tipo_de_pl~7 |   .0448782   .0875747     0.51   0.608     -.126765    .2165214
       _cons |  -7.847963   .1231603   -63.72   0.000    -8.089353   -7.606573
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Exp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3349.706  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3340.2011  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3223.1189  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3222.6574  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3222.6571  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3222.6571
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1852283   .1070861     1.73   0.084    -.0246567    .3951132
      _start |  -.0001002   .0000911    -1.10   0.271    -.0002787    .0000784
       _cons |   -7.91309   .1239134   -63.86   0.000    -8.155956   -7.670224
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Wei
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =    -984694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3349.7044  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3244.6298  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3222.6042  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3221.5224  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3221.4588  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3221.4587  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3221.4587
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1828443   .1070997     1.71   0.088    -.0270671    .3927558
      _start |  -.0001244   .0000921    -1.35   0.176    -.0003049     .000056
       _cons |  -7.411859   .3401779   -21.79   0.000    -8.078595   -6.745123
  log(gamma) |  -.0685108   .0449185    -1.53   0.127    -.1565495    .0195279
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Gomp
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -2.59e+140  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -162662.35  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -110610.4  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -36475.244  (backed up)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -8464.4791  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -7053.0811  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3826.1932  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3410.2543  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3223.2725  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3210.1405  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -3210.1323  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -3210.1323  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3210.1323
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1756029    .107106     1.64   0.101     -.034321    .3855269
      _start |  -.0001924    .000092    -2.09   0.037    -.0003728    -.000012
       _cons |  -7.490233   .1459804   -51.31   0.000     -7.77635   -7.204117
       gamma |  -.0004583   .0000959    -4.78   0.000    -.0006463   -.0002702
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Logl
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -8760.2055  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -4022.9363  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3411.6407  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3323.2136  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3211.5849  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3207.9986  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3207.9771  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3207.9771  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3207.9771
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2365209   .1218412    -1.94   0.052    -.4753253    .0022834
      _start |   .0002032   .0001004     2.02   0.043     6.35e-06       .0004
       _cons |   7.461077   .1413076    52.80   0.000      7.18412    7.738035
       dap:1 |  -.1060847   .0440434    -2.41   0.016    -.1924082   -.0197613
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Logn
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -26109.012  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -4180.4616  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3664.7643  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3518.2944  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3324.5737  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3221.0599  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3201.1348  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3198.6224  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -3198.6173  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3198.6173  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3198.6173
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |  -.2771959   .1236115    -2.24   0.025      -.51947   -.0349218
      _start |   .0002344   .0000978     2.40   0.016     .0000428     .000426
       _cons |   7.502307   .1439305    52.12   0.000     7.220209    7.784406
       dap:1 |   .4557403   .0404108    11.28   0.000     .3765365     .534944
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family Ggam
 ***********

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -13437.724  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3653.2623  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3429.6372  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3320.6518  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3272.5773  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3226.8086  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -3216.7734  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -3209.1854  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood =   -3197.08  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -3196.8253  
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -3196.8248  
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -3196.8248  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3196.8248
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |    -.31581   .1280962    -2.47   0.014    -.5668739    -.064746
      _start |   .0002587   .0000973     2.66   0.008      .000068    .0004493
       _cons |   7.333559   .1720324    42.63   0.000     6.996382    7.670737
  log(sigma) |   .5420071   .0564097     9.61   0.000      .431446    .6525682
       kappa |  -.3456335   .1811322    -1.91   0.056     -.700646     .009379
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP1
 ***********
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_1

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3838.6797  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3222.1639  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3221.4595  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3221.4587  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3221.4587  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3221.4587
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1828443   .1070997     1.71   0.088    -.0270672    .3927559
      _start |  -.0001244   .0000921    -1.35   0.176    -.0003049     .000056
       _cons |  -1.364881   .1317368   -10.36   0.000    -1.623081   -1.106682
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP2
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_2

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3208.0149  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3195.416  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3195.0179  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3195.0174  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3195.0174  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3195.0174
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1765865   .1071008     1.65   0.099    -.0333271    .3865001
      _start |  -.0001929   .0000924    -2.09   0.037     -.000374   -.0000117
       _cons |  -1.333799   .1311633   -10.17   0.000    -1.590874   -1.076723
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP3
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_3

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3205.0276  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3195.0745  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3194.6499  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3194.6482  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3194.6482  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3194.6482
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1763178   .1070998     1.65   0.100    -.0335939    .3862295
      _start |  -.0001952   .0000925    -2.11   0.035    -.0003765   -.0000139
       _cons |  -1.327831   .1312411   -10.12   0.000    -1.585059   -1.070603
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP4
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_4

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -3204.603  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3193.4961  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3193.1652  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3193.1646  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3193.1646  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3193.1646
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1765756   .1070993     1.65   0.099    -.0333352    .3864865
      _start |  -.0001941   .0000925    -2.10   0.036    -.0003754   -.0000129
       _cons |  -1.329896   .1312575   -10.13   0.000    -1.587156   -1.072636
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP5
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_5

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3204.4557  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3193.3544  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3192.9946  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -3192.994  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -3192.994  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood =  -3192.994
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1766465   .1071011     1.65   0.099    -.0332679    .3865609
      _start |  -.0001937   .0000925    -2.09   0.036     -.000375   -.0000125
       _cons |  -1.330523   .1312782   -10.14   0.000    -1.587823   -1.073222
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP6
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_6

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3204.4205  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3193.1994  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3192.8043  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3192.8033  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3192.8033  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3192.8033
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1766616   .1071025     1.65   0.099    -.0332554    .3865787
      _start |  -.0001933   .0000925    -2.09   0.037    -.0003746    -.000012
       _cons |  -1.331565   .1313241   -10.14   0.000    -1.588956   -1.074175
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP7
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_7

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3204.1804  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -3192.575  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3192.1186  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood =  -3192.117  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood =  -3192.117  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood =  -3192.117
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1767465   .1071027     1.65   0.099    -.0331709    .3866639
      _start |  -.0001942   .0000925    -2.10   0.036    -.0003755   -.0000129
       _cons |  -1.331549   .1313206   -10.14   0.000    -1.588933   -1.074166
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP8
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_8

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3204.0126  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3192.2401  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3191.7373  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3191.7354  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3191.7354  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3191.7354
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1765696    .107103     1.65   0.099    -.0333485    .3864876
      _start |   -.000195   .0000925    -2.11   0.035    -.0003762   -.0000137
       _cons |   -1.33159   .1313241   -10.14   0.000    -1.588981     -1.0742
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP9
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_9

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3203.7409  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3192.0562  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3191.5523  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3191.5504  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3191.5504  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3191.5504
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1762249   .1071043     1.65   0.100    -.0336957    .3861455
      _start |  -.0001952   .0000925    -2.11   0.035    -.0003765   -.0000139
       _cons |  -1.331478   .1313402   -10.14   0.000      -1.5889   -1.074056
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display
 ***********
 Transition 8: family RP10
 ***********
Obtaining initial values
variables created: _rcs1_1 to _rcs1_10

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3315.0766  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3203.2715  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3191.4627  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3190.9532  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -3190.9512  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -3190.9512  

Survival model                                  Number of obs     =      1,011
Log likelihood = -3190.9512
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
_t:          |            
tipo_de_pl~1 |   .1758191   .1071047     1.64   0.101    -.0341023    .3857406
      _start |  -.0001955   .0000925    -2.11   0.035    -.0003769   -.0000142
       _cons |  -1.331045   .1313457   -10.13   0.000    -1.588478   -1.073613
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Warning: Baseline spline coefficients not shown - use ml display

. *rcs(time, df(3) orthog)
. estwrite _all using "${pathdata2}parmodels_m2_jun_22_corr3_cc.sters", replace
(saving m2_1_cox1)
(saving m2_1_cox2)
(saving m2_1_cox3)
(saving m2_1_cox4)
(saving m2_1_cox5)
(saving m2_1_cox6)
(saving m2_1_cox7)
(saving m2_1_exp)
(saving m2_1_weib)
(saving m2_1_gom)
(saving m2_1_logl)
(saving m2_1_logn)
(saving m2_1_ggam)
(saving m2_1_rp1)
(saving m2_1_rp2)
(saving m2_1_rp3)
(saving m2_1_rp4)
(saving m2_1_rp5)
(saving m2_1_rp6)
(saving m2_1_rp7)
(saving m2_1_rp8)
(saving m2_1_rp9)
(saving m2_1_rp10)
(saving m2_2_cox1)
(saving m2_2_cox2)
(saving m2_2_cox3)
(saving m2_2_cox4)
(saving m2_2_cox5)
(saving m2_2_cox6)
(saving m2_2_cox7)
(saving m2_2_exp)
(saving m2_2_weib)
(saving m2_2_gom)
(saving m2_2_logl)
(saving m2_2_logn)
(saving m2_2_ggam)
(saving m2_2_rp1)
(saving m2_2_rp2)
(saving m2_2_rp3)
(saving m2_2_rp4)
(saving m2_2_rp5)
(saving m2_2_rp6)
(saving m2_2_rp7)
(saving m2_2_rp8)
(saving m2_2_rp9)
(saving m2_2_rp10)
(saving m2_3_cox1)
(saving m2_3_cox2)
(saving m2_3_cox3)
(saving m2_3_cox4)
(saving m2_3_cox5)
(saving m2_3_cox6)
(saving m2_3_cox7)
(saving m2_3_exp)
(saving m2_3_weib)
(saving m2_3_gom)
(saving m2_3_logl)
(saving m2_3_logn)
(saving m2_3_ggam)
(saving m2_3_rp1)
(saving m2_3_rp2)
(saving m2_3_rp3)
(saving m2_3_rp4)
(saving m2_3_rp5)
(saving m2_3_rp6)
(saving m2_3_rp7)
(saving m2_3_rp8)
(saving m2_3_rp9)
(saving m2_3_rp10)
(saving m2_4_cox1)
(saving m2_4_cox2)
(saving m2_4_cox3)
(saving m2_4_cox4)
(saving m2_4_cox5)
(saving m2_4_cox6)
(saving m2_4_cox7)
(saving m2_4_exp)
(saving m2_4_weib)
(saving m2_4_gom)
(saving m2_4_logl)
(saving m2_4_logn)
(saving m2_4_ggam)
(saving m2_4_rp1)
(saving m2_4_rp2)
(saving m2_4_rp3)
(saving m2_4_rp4)
(saving m2_4_rp5)
(saving m2_4_rp6)
(saving m2_4_rp7)
(saving m2_4_rp8)
(saving m2_4_rp9)
(saving m2_4_rp10)
(saving m2_5_cox1)
(saving m2_5_cox2)
(saving m2_5_cox3)
(saving m2_5_cox4)
(saving m2_5_cox5)
(saving m2_5_cox6)
(saving m2_5_cox7)
(saving m2_5_exp)
(saving m2_5_weib)
(saving m2_5_gom)
(saving m2_5_logl)
(saving m2_5_logn)
(saving m2_5_ggam)
(saving m2_5_rp1)
(saving m2_5_rp2)
(saving m2_5_rp3)
(saving m2_5_rp4)
(saving m2_5_rp5)
(saving m2_5_rp6)
(saving m2_5_rp7)
(saving m2_5_rp8)
(saving m2_5_rp9)
(saving m2_5_rp10)
(saving m2_6_cox1)
(saving m2_6_cox2)
(saving m2_6_cox3)
(saving m2_6_cox4)
(saving m2_6_cox5)
(saving m2_6_cox6)
(saving m2_6_cox7)
(saving m2_6_exp)
(saving m2_6_weib)
(saving m2_6_gom)
(saving m2_6_logl)
(saving m2_6_logn)
(saving m2_6_ggam)
(saving m2_6_rp1)
(saving m2_6_rp2)
(saving m2_6_rp3)
(saving m2_6_rp4)
(saving m2_6_rp5)
(saving m2_6_rp6)
(saving m2_6_rp7)
(saving m2_6_rp8)
(saving m2_6_rp9)
(saving m2_6_rp10)
(saving m2_7_cox1)
(saving m2_7_cox2)
(saving m2_7_cox3)
(saving m2_7_cox4)
(saving m2_7_cox5)
(saving m2_7_cox6)
(saving m2_7_cox7)
(saving m2_7_exp)
(saving m2_7_weib)
(saving m2_7_gom)
(saving m2_7_logl)
(saving m2_7_logn)
(saving m2_7_ggam)
(saving m2_7_rp1)
(saving m2_7_rp2)
(saving m2_7_rp3)
(saving m2_7_rp4)
(saving m2_7_rp5)
(saving m2_7_rp6)
(saving m2_7_rp7)
(saving m2_7_rp8)
(saving m2_7_rp9)
(saving m2_7_rp10)
(saving m2_8_cox1)
(saving m2_8_cox2)
(saving m2_8_cox3)
(saving m2_8_cox4)
(saving m2_8_cox5)
(saving m2_8_cox6)
(saving m2_8_cox7)
(saving m2_8_exp)
(saving m2_8_weib)
(saving m2_8_gom)
(saving m2_8_logl)
(saving m2_8_logn)
(saving m2_8_ggam)
(saving m2_8_rp1)
(saving m2_8_rp2)
(saving m2_8_rp3)
(saving m2_8_rp4)
(saving m2_8_rp5)
(saving m2_8_rp6)
(saving m2_8_rp7)
(saving m2_8_rp8)
(saving m2_8_rp9)
(saving m2_8_rp10)
(file E:/Mi unidad/Alvacast/SISTRAT 2019 (github)/_mult_state_ags/parmodels_m2_jun_22_corr3_cc.sters saved)

Selected the models with lower fit indices.


comb
N ll0 ll df AIC BIC

m2_1_rp9 3617 . -28288.46 11 56598.92 56667.05
m2_1_rp10 3617 . -28288.54 12 56601.08 56675.4
m2_1_rp8 3617 . -28293.84 10 56607.67 56669.61
m2_1_rp7 3617 . -28304.34 9 56626.68 56682.42
m2_1_rp6 3617 . -28316.74 8 56649.47 56699.02
m2_1_rp4 3617 . -28324.6 6 56661.2 56698.36
m2_1_rp5 3617 . -28324.2 7 56662.4 56705.76
m2_1_rp3 3617 . -28332.35 5 56674.7 56705.67
m2_1_cox7 3617 . -29156.67 9 58331.34 58387.08
m2_1_cox6 3617 . -29158.71 8 58333.42 58382.96
m2_1_cox5 3617 . -29171.6 7 58357.2 58400.56
m2_1_cox4 3617 . -29176.39 6 58364.78 58401.95
m2_1_cox3 3617 . -29196.93 5 58403.86 58434.83
m2_1_rp2 3617 . -29700.87 4 59409.73 59434.5
m2_1_gom 3617 . -30076.72 3 60159.43 60178.01
m2_1_logl 3617 . -30140.59 3 60287.18 60305.76
m2_1_logn 3617 . -30140.59 3 60287.18 60305.76
m2_1_ggam 3617 . -30140.59 3 60287.18 60305.76
m2_1_cox2 3617 . -30191.55 4 60391.1 60415.87
m2_1_cox1 3617 . -30634.87 3 61275.75 61294.33
m2_1_weib 3617 . -30674.3 3 61354.6 61373.18
m2_1_rp1 3617 . -30674.3 3 61354.6 61373.18
m2_1_exp 3617 . -30705.29 2 61414.58 61426.97
m2_2_rp10 8903 . -62486.71 12 124997.4 125082.5
m2_2_rp9 8903 . -62489.62 11 125001.2 125079.3
m2_2_rp7 8903 . -62491.77 9 125001.5 125065.4
m2_2_rp8 8903 . -62490.98 10 125002 125072.9
m2_2_rp6 8903 . -62493.18 8 125002.4 125059.1
m2_2_rp5 8903 . -62494.63 7 125003.3 125052.9
m2_2_rp4 8903 . -62496.75 6 125005.5 125048.1
m2_2_rp3 8903 . -62502.55 5 125015.1 125050.6
m2_2_gom 8903 . -62806.16 3 125618.3 125639.6
m2_2_rp2 8903 . -63113.84 4 126235.7 126264.1
m2_2_ggam 8903 . -63930.88 4 127869.8 127898.1
m2_2_logn 8903 . -64156.59 3 128319.2 128340.5
m2_2_logl 8903 . -64156.59 3 128319.2 128340.5
m2_2_cox7 8903 . -64962.64 9 129943.3 130007.1
m2_2_cox6 8903 . -64963.9 8 129943.8 130000.6
m2_2_cox5 8903 . -64967.86 7 129949.7 129999.4
m2_2_cox4 8903 . -64973.42 6 129958.8 130001.4
m2_2_cox3 8903 . -64979.52 5 129969 130004.5
m2_2_cox2 8903 . -65201.82 4 130411.6 130440
m2_2_weib 8903 . -65223.14 3 130452.3 130473.6
m2_2_rp1 8903 . -65223.14 3 130452.3 130473.6
m2_2_cox1 8903 . -65927.05 3 131860.1 131881.4
m2_2_exp 8903 . -67559.45 2 135122.9 135137.1
m2_3_rp10 1153 . -10294.91 13 20615.81 20681.46
m2_3_cox2 1153 . -10304.29 5 20618.58 20643.83
m2_3_cox7 1153 . -10299.8 10 20619.59 20670.09
m2_3_cox3 1153 . -10303.85 6 20619.69 20649.99
m2_3_cox1 1153 . -10306.08 4 20620.17 20640.37
m2_3_rp9 1153 . -10298.21 12 20620.43 20681.03
m2_3_cox4 1153 . -10303.43 7 20620.86 20656.21
m2_3_cox5 1153 . -10302.7 8 20621.39 20661.79
m2_3_cox6 1153 . -10302.11 9 20622.23 20667.68
m2_3_rp8 1153 . -10300.61 11 20623.22 20678.77
m2_3_rp7 1153 . -10302.42 10 20624.85 20675.35
m2_3_rp6 1153 . -10307.39 9 20632.77 20678.23
m2_3_ggam 1153 . -10311.65 5 20633.31 20658.56
m2_3_rp1 1153 . -10313.4 4 20634.81 20655.01
m2_3_weib 1153 . -10313.4 4 20634.81 20655.01
m2_3_logl 1153 . -10313.5 4 20634.99 20655.2
m2_3_rp2 1153 . -10313.2 5 20636.4 20661.65
m2_3_rp5 1153 . -10311.05 8 20638.11 20678.51
m2_3_rp3 1153 . -10313.2 6 20638.39 20668.69
m2_3_rp4 1153 . -10313.18 7 20640.35 20675.7
m2_3_logn 1153 . -10323.57 4 20655.14 20675.34
m2_3_gom 1153 . -10426.3 4 20860.6 20880.8
m2_3_exp 1153 . -10562.79 3 21131.59 21146.74
m2_4_ggam 3049 . -26945.23 5 53900.46 53930.57
m2_4_logn 3049 . -26946.33 4 53900.65 53924.74
m2_4_rp10 3049 . -26942.12 13 53910.25 53988.54
m2_4_rp9 3049 . -26943.46 12 53910.92 53983.19
m2_4_rp8 3049 . -26945.17 11 53912.34 53978.58
m2_4_rp7 3049 . -26948.86 10 53917.71 53977.94
m2_4_rp6 3049 . -26955.89 9 53929.78 53983.99
m2_4_logl 3049 . -26965.49 4 53938.99 53963.08
m2_4_rp5 3049 . -26965.3 8 53946.59 53994.77
m2_4_rp3 3049 . -26968.39 6 53948.78 53984.92
m2_4_rp2 3049 . -26969.93 5 53949.87 53979.98
m2_4_rp4 3049 . -26968.26 7 53950.52 53992.68
m2_4_rp1 3049 . -27000.19 4 54008.39 54032.48
m2_4_weib 3049 . -27000.19 4 54008.39 54032.48
m2_4_cox7 3049 . -27128.37 10 54276.74 54336.97
m2_4_cox6 3049 . -27136.2 9 54290.41 54344.61
m2_4_cox5 3049 . -27138.72 8 54293.44 54341.62
m2_4_cox2 3049 . -27144.19 5 54298.38 54328.49
m2_4_cox4 3049 . -27142.39 7 54298.78 54340.94
m2_4_cox3 3049 . -27144.24 6 54300.48 54336.62
m2_4_cox1 3049 . -27151.37 4 54310.73 54334.82
m2_4_gom 3049 . -27251.59 4 54511.19 54535.28
m2_4_exp 3049 . -27858.31 3 55722.61 55740.68
m2_5_rp2 341 . -3100.319 5 6210.637 6229.797
m2_5_rp3 341 . -3099.739 6 6211.479 6234.47
m2_5_rp4 341 . -3099.674 7 6213.348 6240.171
m2_5_ggam 341 . -3101.883 5 6213.766 6232.926
m2_5_rp5 341 . -3099.709 8 6215.419 6246.074
m2_5_rp6 341 . -3099.557 9 6217.114 6251.601
m2_5_rp7 341 . -3099.412 10 6218.823 6257.142
m2_5_rp8 341 . -3098.648 11 6219.296 6261.446
m2_5_logn 341 . -3105.891 4 6219.783 6235.11
m2_5_rp9 341 . -3097.899 12 6219.798 6265.781
m2_5_rp10 341 . -3097.92 13 6221.841 6271.655
m2_5_cox2 341 . -3107.818 5 6225.637 6244.796
m2_5_cox3 341 . -3107.801 6 6227.601 6250.593
m2_5_cox4 341 . -3107.407 7 6228.814 6255.638
m2_5_cox5 341 . -3107.308 8 6230.616 6261.271
m2_5_cox6 341 . -3107.144 9 6232.287 6266.774
m2_5_cox7 341 . -3107.018 10 6234.036 6272.355
m2_5_gom 341 . -3114.447 4 6236.894 6252.221
m2_5_logl 341 . -3116.283 4 6240.566 6255.893
m2_5_cox1 341 . -3125.846 4 6259.692 6275.02
m2_5_rp1 341 . -3126.044 4 6260.088 6275.416
m2_5_weib 341 . -3126.044 4 6260.088 6275.416
m2_5_exp 341 . -3127.784 3 6261.568 6273.064
m2_6_rp4 1011 . -9080.522 7 18175.04 18209.48
m2_6_rp5 1011 . -9080.884 8 18177.77 18217.12
m2_6_rp6 1011 . -9080.399 9 18178.8 18223.07
m2_6_rp7 1011 . -9080.312 10 18180.62 18229.81
m2_6_rp8 1011 . -9080.016 11 18182.03 18236.14
m2_6_rp3 1011 . -9085.588 6 18183.18 18212.69
m2_6_rp9 1011 . -9079.796 12 18183.59 18242.62
m2_6_rp10 1011 . -9079.602 13 18185.2 18249.15
m2_6_rp2 1011 . -9091.78 5 18193.56 18218.15
m2_6_ggam 1011 . -9113.612 5 18237.22 18261.82
m2_6_logn 1011 . -9121.735 4 18251.47 18271.14
m2_6_gom 1011 . -9124.736 4 18257.47 18277.15
m2_6_cox4 1011 . -9147.296 7 18308.59 18343.02
m2_6_cox5 1011 . -9146.651 8 18309.3 18348.65
m2_6_logl 1011 . -9150.981 4 18309.96 18329.64
m2_6_cox6 1011 . -9146.263 9 18310.53 18354.8
m2_6_cox2 1011 . -9151.321 5 18312.64 18337.23
m2_6_cox7 1011 . -9146.356 10 18312.71 18361.9
m2_6_cox3 1011 . -9150.711 6 18313.42 18342.93
m2_6_rp1 1011 . -9185.506 4 18379.01 18398.69
m2_6_weib 1011 . -9185.506 4 18379.01 18398.69
m2_6_cox1 1011 . -9198.216 4 18404.43 18424.11
m2_6_exp 1011 . -9210.596 3 18427.19 18441.95
m2_7_rp4 98 . -874.3047 7 1762.609 1780.704
m2_7_rp5 98 . -873.8848 8 1763.77 1784.449
m2_7_ggam 98 . -877.0382 5 1764.076 1777.001
m2_7_rp9 98 . -870.7428 12 1765.486 1796.505
m2_7_rp6 98 . -873.761 9 1765.522 1788.787
m2_7_rp2 98 . -877.8854 5 1765.771 1778.696
m2_7_rp8 98 . -872.2336 11 1766.467 1794.902
m2_7_rp10 98 . -870.4338 13 1766.868 1800.472
m2_7_rp7 98 . -873.4882 10 1766.976 1792.826
m2_7_rp3 98 . -877.4979 6 1766.996 1782.506
m2_7_logn 98 . -880.1394 4 1768.279 1778.619
m2_7_cox4 98 . -877.6104 7 1769.221 1787.316
m2_7_cox7 98 . -874.7938 10 1769.588 1795.437
m2_7_cox5 98 . -877.0887 8 1770.177 1790.857
m2_7_gom 98 . -881.5552 4 1771.11 1781.45
m2_7_cox6 98 . -876.81 9 1771.62 1794.885
m2_7_cox2 98 . -880.993 5 1771.986 1784.911
m2_7_cox3 98 . -880.4495 6 1772.899 1788.409
m2_7_logl 98 . -883.5333 4 1775.067 1785.406
m2_7_exp 98 . -887.1372 3 1780.274 1788.029
m2_7_weib 98 . -886.6744 4 1781.349 1791.689
m2_7_rp1 98 . -886.6744 4 1781.349 1791.689
m2_7_cox1 98 . -886.8285 4 1781.657 1791.997
m2_8_rp2 362 . -3195.017 5 6400.035 6419.493
m2_8_rp4 362 . -3193.165 7 6400.329 6427.571
m2_8_rp3 362 . -3194.648 6 6401.296 6424.646
m2_8_rp5 362 . -3192.994 8 6401.988 6433.121
m2_8_rp6 362 . -3192.803 9 6403.607 6438.631
m2_8_ggam 362 . -3196.825 5 6403.65 6423.108
m2_8_rp7 362 . -3192.117 10 6404.234 6443.15
m2_8_logn 362 . -3198.617 4 6405.235 6420.801
m2_8_rp8 362 . -3191.735 11 6405.471 6448.279
m2_8_rp9 362 . -3191.55 12 6407.101 6453.8
m2_8_rp10 362 . -3190.951 13 6407.902 6458.494
m2_8_cox2 362 . -3206.511 5 6423.021 6442.479
m2_8_logl 362 . -3207.977 4 6423.954 6439.521
m2_8_cox4 362 . -3204.989 7 6423.978 6451.219
m2_8_cox3 362 . -3206.541 6 6425.082 6448.432
m2_8_cox5 362 . -3204.635 8 6425.27 6456.403
m2_8_cox6 362 . -3204.558 9 6427.116 6462.141
m2_8_gom 362 . -3210.132 4 6428.265 6443.831
m2_8_cox7 362 . -3204.375 10 6428.751 6467.667
m2_8_cox1 362 . -3220.162 4 6448.324 6463.89
m2_8_rp1 362 . -3221.459 4 6450.917 6466.484
m2_8_weib 362 . -3221.459 4 6450.917 6466.484
m2_8_exp 362 . -3222.657 3 6451.314 6462.989

Saved at= 13:00:05 22 Oct 2022